How Your Mindset Affects Financing Your Retirement

On this week’s episode of the Secure Retirement Podcast, we continue our series on the concerns of members of the Florida Retirement System (FRS), focusing this week on the mindset of retirement and what that means for your planning process. And, if you’re not a member of the FRS, stay tuned because the information provided in this series is still applicable to any recent retirees, or those in the planning stages.

John says, “When you retire, every day is a Saturday. What do you do on Saturdays? Whatever you want. However, when do you spend the most money? During the week when you're working, or on weekends? Usually on the weekends. So, when you retire, if you truly retire and don't work anymore, every day becomes a Saturday, and you're more likely to spend more money because you're doing more things. We're going to touch on that today.”

We chat about the retirement mindset, as well as:

  • Determining what retirement looks like for you— will you stop working entirely or start working in a different capacity?

  • How your mindset will affect how you finance your retirement

  • Considerations around Social Security and Medicare

  • And more

Listen now…

Mentioned in this episode:

Transcript

Steve Gordon: Welcome to John H. Curry Secure Retirement podcast. I'm your host today, Steve Gordon and I am here interviewing Mr. Curry. And we are continuing the series of episodes, talking about the concerns of members of the Florida Retirement System and some of the considerations that, if you are a member of the Florida retirement system you want to be thinking about as you head into and plan for your retirement. If you're listening to this, and you're not a member of the Florida Retirement System, today's episode is actually going to apply to you because we're going to talk about when to retire and when you should retire. JOHN, welcome. That question is, I think, probably on everybody's mind, I'm not even 50. Yet, it's on my mind.

John Curry: Well, why would you want to retire?

Steve: That's a good question. That's a whole other conversation. I don't know that I'll ever fully retire. But I think a lot of people want to just know that they have the option.

Determining What Retirement Means To You

John: Well, you turn the tables on me, I'm gonna turn the tables back on you for a moment. Let's do this. Indulge me. So what does retirement mean to you?

Steve: Being able to do what I want when I want with whom I want and where I want? Good definition?

John: Very good definition. So you think in terms of why retire? So when you retire, every day is a Saturday? What do you do on Saturdays, whatever I want, whatever you however, when do you spend the most money during the week when you're working or on weekends, usually on the weekends. So now when you retire if you truly retire, and don't work anymore? Now, every day becomes a Saturday, every day's a weekend. And you're more likely to spend more money because you're doing more things. And we're going to touch on that today, what I like to call the mindset of retirement, what does it mean? And I'm gonna use myself as an example. And we'll talk about my dad and what he did, and also my granddad. And I think there's some corollaries in there. And I have a passion for this. Because I don't care where you work. 

I decided many, many years ago that my primary focus would be on retirement income planning. That's true for my FRS clients, university system, school teachers that are clients of mine, business owners, doctors, lawyers, everybody has in common the one thing if someday I want to retire, the question is, what does that look like? And that's the first place I'll start with people where I'm a little different than most people who claim to be doing retirement planning, as a way to it's not just about the money, the money, part, finances, retirement, but why do you want to retire in the first place? And then that helps us determine when.

It’s important to understand the distinction.

Steve: Something you said intrigues me a little bit, maybe you can expand upon it a bit, you use the phrase, retirement income planning, as and use that to describe your focus. And, you know, when I think of a financial advisor, I think of somebody who is going to help me with specific things with life insurance with maybe managing investments, you know, kind of those fine grained sort of specific tasks, because that's not what you're talking about here. Help me understand the distinction.

John: But as part of it, but that's the money side. So first, let's get into the mindset. And then come back to that. Yeah. Okay. So the first thing, you come to my office, and I don't know you, so we have a nice few minutes to chit chat. You have a cup of coffee. So tell me who you are. Tell me about yourself. What are you trying to accomplish? What's your vision over time? Why are you here? Why don't you travel across town? To sit in front of me for an hour, hour and a half? Why are you here? out here? Things like, I don't have a clue. All I know is that my best friends work with you. They love what you've done for them. I just know I have a pension plan. I'm on the GS 20 social security at some point, when to take it? Do I go into drop? Not going to drop? All this stuff is confusing. It's overwhelming. I just need help. 

That's great, we'll get there. But based on what you know about yourself today, do you see yourself retiring from the state of Florida taking your pensions and fully retiring and never working again? Or do you think you would do something else where you work part time? We start a business, we start a consulting company, and it's amazing where those conversations get. I've actually helped people who were within say two or three years of retirement, they retire. That's okay, before you retire, once you start thinking about what you're gonna do after retirement, and they've actually started doing businesses because they took what they knew with the state and learned and took it out into the world and got paid for. So now they're able to travel, do things they want to do and get paid to do it.

Steve: You know, I can imagine a lot of people get to that day. You know, because we've been told that's the goal is you get to that retirement day whenever it happens. And you have the party, you get the gold watch. You jump up and down and celebrate and then I imagine that and I would even wager that the majority of people wake up the next morning and go, now what?

Having a vision of your retirement is critical.

John: I believe that I've heard that, I see that. We see what I need to explain. I've been doing this for 45 years, just celebrated 45 years on September 13, I have seen thousands of plans. Most people see one on their own. And it's not complete. Nine times out of 10 is hodgepodge. So I tell people, let's back up. Before we get into how to invest money, how do you spend the money, let's talk about what you're trying to adapt. And back to your point about a financial advisor. I have people where we'll start at point A, and go through all of the protection that you just mentioned. Car Insurance, homeowners insurance, health insurance, disability, income insurance, their life insurance, we look at all that. 

And forever time, I don't care if you're in your 20s or 30s. Or if you're 90 years old. I do not deviate my plan. I look at everything. Then we look as assets, savings, investments, retirement plans, real estate, business interest, we look at everything. Even your obligations, your liabilities, credit card, mortgages, car loans, we'll look at everything. And then we look at cash flow, what your cash flow today, how much are you saving for the future? You know, what happens if we can stay? I mean, look at where we are in this pandemic, as we're recording this. We're facing unbelievable pressure. And some people think the economy is gonna crash like it did in 2008. 

Others say the economy's great, you know what I tell everybody, you can't control any of that. All you can control is your personal economy. If you stick your head in the sand like an ostrich, I got news for you, your butt sticking that you're vulnerable, take the time to plan for yourself. And if you work with me, the first thing I'm going to ask is tell me what the future looks like. Tell me what you want. What does retirement mean to you? What's your vision of retirement, and you shouldn't spend $1? You shouldn't invest money until we get clear on that. Because once I have that, guess what? It will come into focus. So clearly. Okay, these are the things I want to do in return. Well, you want to do them when you're in your 60s or 70s, or you want to work in and then do them in your 80s or 90s, when you're less likely to want to travel as much that helps.

Steve: It does, it does. So you go through this entire process. At the end of it, you come out. It's like magic, right? And come up with the date.

John: And obviously, it's magic. I'll use myself as an example there. I'll be 68 on December 9, on paper, I'm retired. Anybody who knows me, then I'll never fully retire. And my retirement definition is very close to yours. I think about four freedoms, number one is a relationship, right? I'm to the point in my life where I have that I don't have to take on a new client. If it's not a good fit, I won't take them. Why should I complicate my life at this point? And take on someone who is a pain in the butt.

So if there's a good fit, we'll work together. If not, okay, I'll refer you to a friendly competitor even. So if we're a good fitness group, time, freedom, I want the time to do things I want to do, money freedom, and location freedom. So I won't do it like you were saying to work when I want to work with whom I want to work with. So if I'm in a relationship narrows it down perfectly, because that includes family, friends, teammates, coworkers. Excellent. So I get the relationship. 

How much time am I willing to devote to the relationship. And by having money, I can enjoy that time. So if I have that in place, then I get to work when I want when I want and with him alone. To me, that's pretty darn good. And I also encourage people to look up the word retire. As soon as that's the definition to withdrawal is one of the definitions, withdrawal from one life. So we go to work. And we have a social connection there. And just had a thought and thought about this a long time. 

In the 80s I think 83-84 I was asked to do a series of workshops for General Electric employees down in Daytona, Daytona Beach, the war of mudded. One of them was very surprising. They had a psychologist come in and there were four couples being interviewed. And it was really interesting because in this case, all the men were the retirees and the wives were talking about how they felt about them being home and one stood out so clearly, she said, I wish he had never retired. He is a pain in the butt. He is constantly interrupting me and messing up my day. Because everyday he got it for 35 years and went to work. So she played cards with their girlfriends, they had tea. I mean, it was comical, but sad at the same time. 

You got to understand when that happened. I'm only about 30 years old. So I gained some insight that has helped me help other people with their planning. And then my dad, my dad, I was worried about him because he retired at 62. Back to this question of when to retire, he was so obsessed with retiring as soon as possible. So at age 62, he took us pension with a state of Florida, took option three, and took Social Security. And he promptly sat in a chair in the living room, his favorite recliner and watched television all day. And I was convinced that my dad wouldn't live any longer than his dad my granddad in retirement. And finally, one day, one of my uncle's convinced him and my mom to get in a car and ride with them on a vacation. And Cherokee, North Carolina, and my dad, something happened on that trip because he wouldn't go anywhere. Though, when he'd come visit me he's in the sun. I gotta get back home now before it gets dark. Now he's saying that at three o'clock, and it's only an hour and a half, two hour and 45 minute drive. So I was worried that he was just gonna sit there and wither away. That's what some people do. And they watch the news all day long. They get stressed and have anxiety, that is not retirement. 

Okay. Now look at my grandfather. My grandfather was very healthy when he retired, he could do 100 pushups, hundred sit ups are 65 years old. He was a hard working blue collar guy. Because my granddad and my granddad both worked with the Department of Transportation. At one time, they're a part of the bridge crews, rebuilding bridges in Northwest Florida. So I was very concerned about my dad. But then the people that I talk with Steve that have something to look forward to in retirement, and they're not retiring away from something, they do better. So I like to ask people this question. If somebody comes in, they're angry. They're frustrated. The tenant, why are you retiring? I can't stand the people at work. I hate their guts. I got to go. Well, I'm sorry to hear that. 

So here's a question. It sounds to me like you're running away from something not running to something. And if that's the case, I don't think you can be happy in retirement. So let's talk about what that retirement looks like. And I pulled out of them. And nine times out of 10 I go, we're gonna things really aren't that bad at work, because now they have hope. They got a future. But if you're sitting there in the heat of the battle, every day struggling with, do I go to work, I can't, I can't stand to go to work. Thank God, I don't have that. I don't have that. And I do have the power that if I do have that, I can clear some days off and go have what we call free days, you know and relax. But that I think the whole thing about when to retire comes down to mindset. 

Now let's get into financing retirement, because you can't be pollyannaish about it, you got it, it's got to be realistic. How do I fund or finance my retirement? So first of all, if you remember the Florida retirement system, you have to make a choice of which pension option to take if you haven't already done it. So you take 123 or four, we talked about that in previous episodes. When do you take social security? Do you take it as soon as you can 62 that will be determined by how much income you have. We just use a round number roughly, if you earn over $18,000, you take social security at 62 you'll be penalized $1 fair for $2 above that. So if you know you're going to be working part time, it probably would not make sense to take it at 62. So then do you wait until your full retirement age? Or wait until 70? In another episode, we'll be covering that in more detail. So I'll just leave it as a kind of big picture. 

And then if you have money in deferred comp, and drop, what do you do with that money? How do you structure the structure to grow? Or do you start taking income immediately on some of it or all of it? Or do you break it up in this account? I'll take income today to fill the gap until I get social security. And the other many I'll let grow until I'm forced to take it out under the required minimum distribution laws at 72. So a lot of it comes down to how well you've saved what is in is a taxable or non taxable. What are your income needs? And do you want to work?

Steve: So, John, I know there are a lot of a lot of moving parts here. And probably some of these, we need to come back to you. You've talked about drop a little bit. You've talked about Social Security, we probably need to cover this a little more detail is just from a high level. What are a few of the considerations around those two things?

Choosing the right plan for you

John: Well, the big thing is we see this every day that I choose to work with clients. Somebody will come in, just had 2 this week in fact. Okay, I'm trying to decide if I should go into the drop plan. So what's your hesitation? Well, because I'm not sure I really want to leave in five years. Because once you go in, you have to come out at five. And I've had a lot of people who have told me they regretted doing it. I didn't really want to leave. I love my job. I don't know why I did that. I guess you do. You saw an opportunity to have a big bucket of money, the largest chunk of money you have had in your life, and one bucket sitting there. So would you let the money drive your decision instead of focusing on what you really wanted in return. So it's not all about money, you have to have money, don't get me wrong. Nobody works for free. I don't, you're not nobody else's. But if you let money be the full driver, you might make the wrong decision. 

So my grandfather did that. He took option one, because that was the highest monthly benefit. He died. My grandmother lived to be two weeks out of 95 years old. So she lost all that income for all those years, all those years? So it comes down to what assets do you have? When do you want to work? When do you want to quit working? Do you ever want to fully retire, or say you know what, I'm going to retire and take all of my retirement income streams. But I still want to be productive. Now you don't have to work for a paycheck. You're not volunteering. I know people who do a lot of volunteer work at churches, some other nonprofit organizations, the key is just keep moving, keep moving. And then when it comes to social security, we'll definitely get into more detail there. Because there's a huge amount of moving parts there. We actually do workshops, and webinars, specifically own social security and medicare, that I would encourage people to tune into occasionally.

Steve: So John, what I'm getting out of all of this, I mean, this is now when we're on our third or fourth, one of the I think fourth episodes in this series. What I'm really getting from this is that this is a giant jigsaw puzzle. And sometimes it's got pieces from other jigsaw puzzles mixed in. And you've got to somehow sort it all out and turn it into the picture of what you want in retirement, and coordinate all of these different things. And I could really see for somebody, you know, you're an expert at this. 

Okay, so maybe I have something similar to the perspective of a client listening to this maybe where I just want it to be simple. And I just want to make a decision, because it's given me a headache, right? If you're listening to this, nod your head if you can relate. Because this is confusing. I mean, there are so many different options. Not just with all the different plans that that state employees might be involved in. And as you shared in the last episode, it depends on when you got into the plan. And when you are hired, there's all this complexity to it. And certainly Social Security multiple ages when you can begin taking Social Security. So there's decisions to make there, there's decisions around drop. I mean, it goes on and on and on. We haven't even talked about Medicare, we're gonna get into that. We haven't really even talked about rmds we're gonna get into that. I need to go find some aspirin.

John: Well, sometimes it gives me a headache. But two things. One, you made me think something somewhere in probably in a file somewhere, had this visual I had created a jigsaw puzzle. And it had on there as far as Social Security, Medicare, Dropped, Deferred Comp, 403b, IRA, had all these different pieces. And I was going to have that made into a puzzle that I could just give the people in a box here. Good, do your own plan. But you know, it's funny, because when you talk about the complexity, Steve, that's why a lot of people find their way to me and my team. nessa I don't do this, just charge me they do it for me to narrow down my options and get it done. Just make it happen. I'm tired of messing with it. I'm tired of dealing with product sales people who fix the damn thing. So I can enjoy every time. I get that on a regular basis. I say okay, here's my fee schedule. Here's what we do based on what I know. Here’s the fee, would you like us engaged? I go Yes. Take care of it.

Steve: Yeah, I can see that. You know this about me, I have a background in engineering. I don't know that I could sit down and figure this out or that I have the will to do it.

John: Well, first of all, we know you could do it. Everybody could do it. Let's be real blunt here. Anyone Listen to this. You don't really need me. You can do it yourself if that's what you want to do. But I'm the kind of person I'm not doing it myself. NASA ascribed to the same philosophy, instead of saying, How do I do this, I'm saying, who can do it for me or with me. So my deal is this, I only want to attract to me people who know they need help. They want help. And they want to be a partner in that I'm not doing it all for you by myself, you're gonna be engaged in the process, or we can't work together, we will do all of the work that needs to be done to get you ready. But also, you've got to make decisions. I can't make the decisions for you. But I can coach you and guide you and make sure that you're on the right path. I can do that. And I do that very well. And I love doing that.

Steve: Excellent. Well, John, we've got a couple of big topics coming up. Yes, we're going to talk about drop. And you're going to get in deep into that and explain that, that'll be our next episode in the series. And then after that, we're going to dive into Social Security. Because that's another deep topic. And we're going to get into that. And I know you do webinars on that on a regular basis. And when you could do in person seminars, you did those. And, you know, I know that you would fill the room with people curious about that. So I know, that's an important topic for folks. As we go forward in this series, we're also going to be touching on Medicare and how to coordinate that with everything and rmds. And lots of other topics that are going to be important, both to folks in the Florida retirement system, so that you can coordinate that with, with your FRS benefits, but also very important to people of any walk of life, who are thinking about and planning for their retirement because some of these topics are universal.

John: Absolutely. Especially Social Security, Medicare. And there's a lot of talk about social security right now. And both presidential candidates are accusing each other trying to destroy Social Security and Medicare and all this stuff. And what I go right back to what I say every time, you cannot worry about what they're doing. Everybody should go vote, as pay out the politics of you go vote for you, thanks best as your business. I'm going to focus on my personal economy. And if you choose to work with me, I'm going to make you stay focused on your personal economy. So that no matter what these knuckleheads do in Congress, and the legislature, you're secure in your retirement. Love it.

Steve: John, if folks have specific questions about anything we talked about today, how can they reach you?

John: They can call me at my office. Area code 850-562-3000. Or then go to the website, johnhcurry.com.

Steve: Perfect. And folks, that's where you can find all the episodes in this series. So if you're coming into this midstream, and you want to go back and listen to the prior episodes, we've we've talked about the FRS pension options in an earlier episode, we've talked about deferred comp and taxes and how the those kind of work together and what you need to know about those. We've talked about all sorts of things as we go through this. And in the next episode, we're going to jump into drop so stay tuned for that. You can find out more at johnhcurry.com click on the podcast link. You can subscribe to this in your favorite podcast app on your phone. And, John, thank you again. We're going to be back real soon with the next episode.

John: Look forward to it.

Voiceover: If you'd like to know more about John Curry's services, you can request a complimentary information package by visiting johnhcurry.com/podcast. Again, that is johnhcurry.com/podcast. Or you can call his office at 850-562-3000. Again, that is 850-562-3000. John H. Curry, chartered life underwriter, chartered financial consultant, accredited estate planner, masters in science and financial services, certified in long-term care registered representative and financial advisor at Park Avenue Securities LLC. 

Securities products and services and advisory services are offered through Park Avenue Securities, a registered broker-dealer and investment advisor. Park Avenue Securities is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Guardian. North Florida Financial Corporation is not an affiliate or subsidiary of Park Avenue Securities. 

Park Avenue Securities is a member of FINRA and SIPC, this material is intended for general public use. By providing this material, we are not undertaking to provide investment advice for any specific individual or situation or to otherwise act in a fiduciary capacity. Please contact one of our financial professionals for guidance and information specific to your individual situation. All investments contain risk and may lose value. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Guardian and subsidiaries, agents or employees do not provide legal tax or accounting advice. 

Please consult with your attorney, accountant and or tax advisor for advice concerning your particular circumstances. Not affiliated with the Florida Retirement System. The Living Balance Sheet and the Living Balance Sheet logo are registered service marks of the Guardian Life Insurance Company of America, New York, New York, Copyright 2005-2020. This podcast is for informational purposes only. Guest speakers and their firms are not affiliated with or endorsed by Park Avenue Securities or Guardian and opinions stated are their own.

2020-111910 Expires 11/2022

Tax Deferral — Everything You Need to Know

On this week’s episode of the Secure Retirement Podcast, we dive into the third episode in our series on the Florida Retirement System. Today we talk about an important topic that many people choose to avoid—  factors to consider while thinking about tax deferral. We also ask the important questions you need answers to before making your final decision.

“We're looking for opportunities to minimize tax. We want to avoid the tax, not evade the tax, because the difference between tax avoidance and tax evasion is about 10 years in prison”, says John.

We chat about taxes and their impact on your retirement, as well as: 

  • Questions to ask when deferring your taxes

  • A brief history of income tax

  • How a change in administration could affect your retirement

  • Whether or not income tax is really voluntary tax

  • And more

Listen now…

Mentioned in this episode:

Transcript

Steve Gordon: Welcome to John Curry's Secure Retirement Podcast. I am your host, Steve Gordon., and I'm here interviewing Mr. Curry on our ongoing series of episodes for members of the Florida Retirement System. So if you're a member of the Florida Retirement System, you definitely want to tune in to all of these. 

This is episode three. And if you missed the first two, you can go back and find those at johnhcurry.com or you can subscribe in your favorite podcast player, whether that's Apple Podcasts, Google Podcasts, Spotify, Stitcher, you can find it all there. And today, we're going to, I think, dive into an important topic and one that lots of people like to avoid. Before we get there, Mr. Curry, welcome.

John Curry: Glad to see you again. Steve. Thank you for playing host.

Steve: Yeah, this is fun. I tell you, I'm learning a lot myself. And I'm not a member of the Florida Retirement System. I think that's, you know, if you are listening to this and you're not a member, you will find, I think, a wealth of information here that actually will apply to you. Today's episode especially. So, John, today, we are talking about taxes. 

There is an awful lot of talk about taxes, these days in the news about should they be raised, are they going to be lowered? Who knows? I don't think any of us can predict what will happen in the political winds. And that's not really what we're here to talk about. We're really going to focus on taxes as they impact your retirement because as you've told me again, and again, they have a big impact. 

John: They do. 

Steve: So specifically, should you pay your taxes today or should you defer them into the future? 

John: Well, that depends. So here's a question for you. When you retire, Steve, will you be in the same tax bracket as today? Higher or lower?

Steve:  I gotta tell you, I'm really aiming to be in a higher one.

You May Not Realize, but You Want to Be in a High Tax Bracket

John: Very good. Good answer. correct answer. I'll have people come to me and say my goal is to be in the lower tax bracket when I retire. I say you don't need me. They go why? If that's your goal to be in a lower tax bracket, that means you have less income. That's not what I focus on. My job is to help you retire with as much income as possible, preferably at least what you were earning before you retire, not less. 

Why would you want to have more time in front of you, free time, but not have the money to enjoy it? Is that your idea of retirement? And it puzzles people because they've been taught, okay, when you're retired, you'll get about 50% of what you're getting with your pension plus social security. So you need to prepare yourself to settle for about 70% overall. I go, why? Why would you start there? Why don't we start with 100% or better? And if you can't get that, then settle. 

But why would you start there? And that's where the conversation starts. And then I'll ask, answer the question about the taxes. Tell me what your income will be when you retire. Tell me what the tax brackets will be. Have you looked at tax history? Nobody does. I don't do it much anymore but when I would do ongoing classes for CPAs continuing education, I would say Who can tell me what the top marginal tax bracket has been throughout our history of income taxes. 

Nobody ever got it right. They'd say 70%. The top bracket was 94%. And a little tax history. When I was getting my master's degree in financial services, we had one entire course, not a class, the entire course, just on the history of our income tax. Very fascinating. Tough course, but it was fascinating. 1913 was when we had the first illegal income tax in our country with the passage of the 16th amendment. Do you know what the top bracket was in 1913? 

Steve: I have no idea. 

John: 7%. Seven. And to get there, you had to earn $500,000 a year in 1913. So we were told, they were told, we weren't alive, that the press said headlines temporary tax. And it was. It was 7% for three years. In year four, they raised it to 15%. Why? Well, they needed more money to finance with things like World War One. Tax rates went up. It was crazy. 

Then you're in a great depression, tax rates for 25%. If you go back and look at, and this is data from IRS, this is not something I made up. You go to IRS website and see the history of the taxes, the brackets. So I find it interesting when people talk about let's go tax the high-income people, the wealthy people. If you look at the same charts I see, yeah, the tax rates went up higher for those folks but guess what, the tax rates came up for everybody. Everybody. Maybe not as severe but they still came up. 

And even though Ronald Reagan in the 80s pounded congress to drop the top bracket from 50%, down to 28, that was helpful. However, just because the tax rates dropped to 28% does not mean that we paid less in tax. Most of us did not pay less tax. Why? Because they were controlling the levers, they dropped the tax bracket but they took away deductions. They took away the interest you could deduct on your car loans before, department stores, credit cards, all that was deductible in the past. 

They took it away. It was phased out. So when people start talking about well, the tax law says this or this. I'm not a tax attorney, I'm not a CPA. I do have a Master's of Science in financial services, but I read and study this stuff, but I don't hold myself as being a tax expert. But I do enjoy reading it, studying it, understanding it and teaching it as much as I can. But I am convinced that if we really understood what's happening to us, there'd be another revolution and we'd say no, no. Another Boston Tea Party. I'm not paying that tax. And by the way, do you know that your income tax is called a voluntary tax, by the way? Does it feel voluntary?

Steve: Last I checked, it wasn't voluntary. 

John: It's interesting. So I say all that to set the stage for, answer your question. Should you defer? Should you defer? And it comes down to a lot of factors. What will your tax bracket be? What does the tax law allow you to deduct or not deduct? The new tax law, they came into play a couple years ago, made big changes because now the first $24,000 of income for married couples is not taxed because of the standard deduction being doubled. So that is set to sunset in 2025, that could go away. 

Every time you have a change in administrations or parties for sure, you'll hear a lot of arguing and bickering about tax rates. And people ask me every day that I see clients, what will my taxes be in the future? I have no idea, nor do you. Nor do you. I said however, I hope that with the planning we did during the maximum tax bracket and we're looking for opportunities to minimize the tax, avoid the tax, just don't evade the tax because the difference between tax avoidance and tax evasion is about 10 years in prison. So let us not evade, let's just avoid. 

Steve: That's right. So I know folks who are in the Florida Retirement System, and frankly, folks who are planning for retirement in any way, have some options. There are plans where you can defer your compensation, you can defer tax payments, all of that. Walk us through what some of the options are and what people need to be thinking about.

Choosing the Best Option For You

John:  Well, the most basic one is something called a 457 deferred comp, deferred compensation plan. Most state employees are familiar with it and will use it. So the question becomes do I set aside money for retirement, where it's coming out of my paycheck automatically, you cannot write a check and mail it in. It has to be a payroll reduction is where the law says. So I can have $100, $500 come out of that and be invested. And the state of Florida has different companies that they've chosen to be sponsors of the deferred compensation plan. 

So the employee can do that. And then when they come out of that plan in retirement, every dollar they take out is taxed. Now let's talk about the different plans that are out there for all of us. So, members of the Florida Retirement System, state deferred comp for most of them. There are exceptions. People who are in a school system and the university system and community colleges have something called a 403B plan, tax-deferred annuity. Now it's called tax-deferred arrangement because it's not just annuities anymore. You can also use mutual funds. So those are the two that you see in the school system and in the state government. 

Or people on the street out there, I call them civilians, like us, they can have 401K's and IRA, or if you're self-employed, some type of SEP plan, simplified employee pension plan. So any of those same guidelines, you put the money in today, you pay no tax on that contribution until you take it out. And people think that's a big deal. great deal. Well, it is if you are in a lower tax bracket when you retire. If you retire and all of a sudden you're in the same bracket or higher, maybe that was not the best strategy. Maybe you'd been better off taking the money, pay tax on it and do something else with it. Was there something else? You could have a Roth IRA. 

I'm surprised at the number of people who don't use Roth IRAs. Their mindset is, well, I'd rather save the taxes. And I have news for you, you're not saving taxes, you are deferring the tax. And I'm guilty of it myself. Yeah, I put a lot of money in my 401Ks, but I made sure I have a Roth IRA and also have life insurance that builds cash I can use in the future. So I paid the tax, bought the insurance because it allows me to do other things in retirement that if I don't have insurance, I can't do.

Steve: So John, what are the other key issues people need to be thinking about when it comes to these tax issues?

Figure Out When You Want to Start Receiving Retirement Income

John: There's a bunch of them, but I'll just cover a couple of right now. First one is when will you want the income? The law, federal law requires now that you have to take a required minimum distribution at age 72. The old law said 70 and a half. They just changed with the Secure Act at the end of 2019. So let's suppose Well, I'll be 68 in December, so let's suppose I retire, pretend I'm in the Florida Retirement System and I've got a quarter of a million dollars in my deferred comp account. 

When do I want to take income? Maybe I take income immediately, maybe I defer it to 72, and then take it. But the laws are very clear on this. If I have deferred comp and an IRA, I have to take it from both. If I have four IRAs, I can take my distributions from one if I want to let the others continue to grow. 

But if I have a 403B, 457, and an IRA, then if I leave them in that status, I have to take money from all. That may not be the best way to do it. We may want to have some money, some accounts giving you income today and others growing as much as possible. And that comes down to when you need the money, when you're willing to pay tax on it. You know, how are you structuring your money? Are you leaving it behind primarily for family members or you gonna spend it all yourself during your lifetime? 

But the key for people, especially in the Florida Retirement System, is to coordinate all savings and investments with whatever pension option you chose. It's very important to do that. And you and I have talked about this from time to time, I believe in talking about the good, the bad, and the ugly with anything we're doing. What does that mean? Too many times people will tell us what's good about something, they never tell us what's bad. And I always like to ask the question, Well, tell me what's ugly about it. 

They go What? Okay, don't just give me the good stuff. Tell me everything. So if you work with me, you're gonna hear it all. The good, the bad and the ugly. I call that the Clint Eastwood method. Remember, the movie, The Good, the Bad and the Ugly? But I think it's just important to understand that if we look back at our tax history and when the tax rates went up, it was because Congress was spending a lot of money on various presidential administrations work. 

And money had to be collected in the form of taxes to pay for that stuff. If you look at what's happening in our environment today, I don't see how any reasonable person, any reasonable person could say that our tax rates won't go up. I believe during my lifetime, I will see tax rates back to 50% if not higher. Maybe 70% because there's a lot of pressure to collect more. At some point, tax rates have to go up because the members of Congress are not willing to make some of the tough decisions that had to be made because they're worried about not getting reelected.

Steve: You know, as folks are looking at their different options and are in different plans, is there anything in particular, they need to know about the difference between, for example, 457 and 403B and all these other things? Or are those not as critical?

John: I think they're critical if you happen to have a choice of having both. I find some people who had 457 plans and 403B. It really comes down to the company of choice that's offering those plans. When I meet with people ask those questions, tell me what you're trying to accomplish. Are you looking for growth at all costs? Are you looking for what I like to call a moderate growth? Are you looking for absolute guarantees? What are you trying to find? 

And because I'm not licensed with these particular companies, I can't give specific advice on those particular plans because securities regulators are pretty tough on advising on something that you don't have the right to be doing. So I don't do that. But what I can do as a blanket, big picture is look at everything with you and say look, see, this might not be just right for you. Why don't we call your other guy and find out? Or you call if you want to. But if you're under my care and I'm doing the planning, I'll help you with it.

Steve: Very good. Well, John, any, any other issues folks need to be aware of? Any final thoughts before we wrap this one up?

Keep an Eye Out for Changes in the System

John: I'll tell you what I thought about doing one time then decided not to because the rules changed so much, I thought about getting into contribution limits and various rules. I think I'll just leave that out, Steve, because by the time someone hears this, the law may have changed. You know, the rules change. They're changing constantly. 

And for those people who say, well, not for me because I'm in state government, there was a major change back in July of 2011 to your pension plan. And if you haven't gone and looked at the plan summary document, I'd recommend you do that. Pay attention to it and go to their website occasionally at the Florida Retirement System and just see what's going on. See what the legislature is up to.

Steve: Very good. And if somebody is curious about that and just wants sort of have their hand held through it, will you do that for them?

John: Absolutely. And I would encourage people to start. Just, if you're not sure, just start with a telephone call. We have telephone appointments. 20, 30 minutes with someone, find out if there's a fit and then we'll sit down together. Sometimes that's face to face. Sometimes it's over the computer online meeting with a telephone call. But absolutely. I enjoy having conversations with people. You know, I tell people I grew up in a state employee family, you know, my dad worked for the state and my granddad worked for the state. So if I can help people, especially FRS, I love doing it.

Steve: That's fantastic. Well, John, I know we're, the next episode we're doing here in this series is maybe one of the most important ones. We're going to talk about what age to retire. And so I'm hoping you're gonna tell me that I can retire at age 50 because that'll be my next birthday. Probably not going to tell me that, but I'm hoping. 

And I think everybody else listening is probably wondering, well, when can I retire? So we're going to talk a little bit, folks, about how to approach that decision and some of the factors that go into, or ought to go into your thinking there. And I think that'll be Fantastic. John, for folks that have listened to this and have some questions, how can they get ahold of you directly?

John: Well, they can call my office at 850-562-3000. 850-562-3000. Or visit my website at johnhcurry.com. That's johnhcurry.com.

Steve: Very good. And, folks, if you're looking for the other episodes in this series, go to johnhcurry.com, click on the podcast link and you'll find them there. And you can also find them in your favorite podcast app. Be sure to go in that app and give the podcast a five-star rating. I know John would be happy about that and it'll help some other people find these episodes. And we hope that there'll be valuable both for you and for folks that you know. So stay tuned for next time. We're gonna talk about what age you're able to retire.

John: Plus they'll be other stuff in there too. 

Steve: Awesome.

Voiceover: If you'd like to know more about John Curry's services, you can request a complimentary information package by visiting johnhcurry.com/podcast. Again, that is johnhcurry.com/podcast. Or you can call his office at 850-562-3000. Again, that is 850-562-3000. John H. Curry, chartered life underwriter, chartered financial consultant, accredited estate planner, masters in science and financial services, certified in long-term care registered representative and financial advisor at Park Avenue Securities LLC. 

Securities products and services and advisory services are offered through Park Avenue Securities, a registered broker-dealer and investment advisor. Park Avenue Securities is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Guardian. North Florida Financial Corporation is not an affiliate or subsidiary of Park Avenue Securities. 

Park Avenue Securities is a member of FINRA and SIPC, this material is intended for general public use. By providing this material, we are not undertaking to provide investment advice for any specific individual or situation or to otherwise act in a fiduciary capacity. Please contact one of our financial professionals for guidance and information specific to your individual situation. All investments contain risk and may lose value. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Guardian and subsidiaries, agents or employees do not provide legal tax or accounting advice. 

Please consult with your attorney, accountant and or tax advisor for advice concerning your particular circumstances. Not affiliated with the Florida Retirement System. The Living Balance Sheet and the Living Balance Sheet logo are registered service marks of the Guardian Life Insurance Company of America, New York, New York, Copyright 2005-2020. This podcast is for informational purposes only. Guest speakers and their firms are not affiliated with or endorsed by Park Avenue Securities or Guardian and opinions stated are their own.

2020-110012 Expires 10/2022

Funding Your Future: The Choices and Their Implications

On this week's episode, we speak about properly planning your secure retirement based on your personal financial situation. John explains the four FRS options, what they mean, and how each is designed to suit a specific situation.The discussion, while aimed specifically at members of the Florida Retirement System (FRS), gives valuable insights to anyone in the process of planning their retirement. 

“Some people choose one of the four options in a vacuum. They're all good, but they're designed for different purposes. Now, the challenge is taking those four options and coordinating that with Social Security, your deferred comp, your IRAs, drop money, savings investments, and your life insurance. All that has to be reviewed as a total package in order to have a comprehensive retirement plan that will last you for the rest of your life. That's what I want to make sure that anybody listening understands. This isn't just about which of these options you take, it's about the total picture,” says John.

We chat about secure retirement plans, as well as:

  • The four Florida Retirement System pension plan options

  • Making an informed choice

  • Scenario planning: how long does your pension need to last?

  • The difference between pension and investment

  • When contributing to pension is not in your best interests

  • And more

Listen now…

Mentioned in this episode:

Transcript

Steve Gordon: Welcome to John Curry's Secure Retirement Podcast. My name is Steve Gordon and I am the temporary host. I'm here with Mr. Curry himself in the flesh. And we are in our second episode where we are going through some specific planning around the idea of retirement for the Florida Retirement System and members of the Florida Retirement System. If you're in the Florida Retirement System, this is going to be specifically geared to you. 

If you are not in the Florida Retirement System, you are going to gain things out of this that I think will be valuable for you as well because many of the topics that affect FRS members also affect everybody that's going to retire. And so if you missed that very first episode, you can go back and listen to that on John's website, johnhcurry.com or in your favorite podcast player. So, Mr. Curry, good to see you again. 

John Curry: Good to see you, Steve. 

Steve: So today we are really kind of diving into the meat of things. And we're talking about the FRS pension options. So set the stage for us. What are we going to cover today? 

The Four FRS Options

John: I always like to start with the basics. There were four options under the Florida Retirement System pension. There's a lot of confusion about them. There's a lot of changes that have happened over the years in 2011, legislature made some more changes that impact people. But I'd like to start with the very basics and just share some tidbits of information that many people don't know. The Florida Retirement System was actually created back in 1970. At that time, the legislature brought all the existing plans together. 

There was something called the Teachers Retirement Plan and the State Employees Plan. So they just merged them. At the time it was contributory, meaning you had to contribute some of your own money. 1975m it became non-contributory, meaning the state of Florida totally funded everything. And I remember talking with people that I've known for years in the Florida Retirement System, including my dad, saying, Wow, this is fantastic. 

You know, I don't have to make, pay anything into it. And then in 2011, that changed and employees now have to contribute 3%. And then the state contributes their portion, which we'll get into later. But I find it interesting that it's been years, I mean, many years since I had anyone who had taken the time to read and study and really understand their pension. 

I'll have people come to me, Steve, within six months of retirement, they've never read the FRS employee handbook, they've never read the plan, just some of the description about the plan. Now, I know I'm a little unusual because I eat, sleep and drink anything related to retirement. I do. I admit it. I'm a geek about it. But I would think that if either take the time to learn it or go find somebody who knows it inside out and hire that person, or persons to help you. So I love this. I have a passion for it. 

And I touched on it last episode, but I'll hit it briefly today. My grandfather took option one. So I'm gonna explain option one. Option one is the maximum benefit. You get that check for as long as you live, the day you die, it dies with you. So my grandfather died, that pension died, my grandmother got no more money for the rest of her life until she was almost 95. So that's an expensive option if you don't live a long time. Well, I'll cover all four and I'll come back to that. 

Option two, a little different. It also is a lifetime benefit but it has a 10-year guarantee. Life to the employee, 10 years to the beneficiary. So had my grandfather taken that one, he died about five years into retirement, my grandmother would have gotten the income five more years and then it would stop. Option three is joint with 100% to the survivor. That's what my dad took. My dad took that option, so it's less income, he had about 15% less income than he could have had with the top one, maximum. 

Steve: I want to stop you right there and talk about this a little bit because I know that the experiences of both your father and your grandfather really are what drove you to do what you do today. As I listened to it, it sounds like your grandfather took one option, your father probably looked at that as an example of what not to do and went completely the opposite. 180 degrees. 

John: He did. Totally opposite. 

Steve: And that was a little bit problematic as well. And share a little bit about that story and maybe why just looking at the surface can create problems. 

1, 2 or 3? 

John: Well, I'm gonna be as simple and direct as I can. My grandfather saw option one as being the maximum of money and he simply said, I'm healthy, I think I'll live a long time, I'm taking the maximum and he didn't give a whole lot of thought to what happens when I die. He had very little life insurance, less than 10,000. So he had a different mindset. Some people have a mindset, I'm absolutely going to protect the people that I love and care about even though I get less money. My grandfather didn't have that mindset. 

He was like, hey, dammit, I want every dollar I can get. My dad had a different mindset. When he saw and he had to reach into his pocket and help his mother every month, along with his brother, he said, I do not want my sons to have to do that for their mom. So he settled for less in order to guarantee her lifetime income. So it comes down to a mindset fee. And also, are you willing to listen and take advice? My dad and my grandfather were very stubborn men. They didn't take much advice. And they were skeptical. And so they didn't get the advice that they could have gotten.

Steve: Well, you know, the way you describe that, it makes it sound as if one of those two options is just inherently better than the other. And I don't think that's necessarily the case. 

John: It's definitely not the case because maybe I have enough resources that I can take the option. So back up. If my grandfather, let's suppose the head just a big old life insurance policy in place when he retired, he could have taken the maximum benefit knowing that if he died two days later, that the life insurance would take care of my grandmother. He didn't do that. Now somebody does not have life insurance, they don't have a lot of savings or investments, then maybe taking option three is better. So in my dad's case, he made the right decision. It could have been better, but he made the right decision based on what information to hand. 

Steve: But I think that's what I want to make sure that anybody listening understands is that it isn't just about which of these options you take. It's about the total picture. And so that's what we're really going to get into. 

John: Absolutely. And we'll talk about it some today in the sense that I this episode because some people choose one of the four options in what I call a vacuum, okay? Which one is the best? Well, neither is the best. They're all good. They're designed for different purposes. That's why they're there. 

But now the challenge is, how do we take those four options, coordinate that with social security, your deferred comp, your IRAs, you know, drop money, if you have that, savings, investments, your life insurance, all that has to be reviewed as a total package in order to have a comprehensive retirement plan that will last you for the rest of your life. Most people listening to this when they retire, they'll probably live 20 to 25 years or longer in retirement. We're living longer, so what if you live 30 years in retirement. Plan better work. 

Steve: I think everybody would agree. It better work. So get us back on track here because I, thank you for kind of pausing and clarifying that but get us back on track with the pension options. 

Long Term Planning for Yourself and Your Family

John: Okay, let me just summarize them real quick. So option one is life only. Meaning, if I take that option, I get it as long as I live. Live to be 100 years old, I get that check. And depending upon when I entered the Florida Retirement System, I might have a cost of living benefit. At one time, it was just a flat 3%. July 1, 2011, that changed. If you are a new hire coming in, you don't have a cost of living benefit in retirement. I find people don't know that. Sure, I have it. No. Read the plan document. If you were hired on or after July one of 2011, there is no cost of living benefit for you when you retire. 

People who have been there for a while instead of getting automatically 3%, it's been scaled down. So I just met with a client yesterday, 2.4% will be his cost of living benefit based on a factor. So each of these options will have a cost of living benefit. Prior to 2011, nothing ever. So option one, get that check for life, the day I die, nothing. The only thing that would come back to my family would be any contributions I've made into the plan. Option two life also for as long as I live, but 10 years guaranteed to the beneficiary, typically a spouse. 

So I'll live five years, I die income continues five more years. And again, if I die, 10-year guarantee but nothing after the 10 to the beneficiary. I've had people say I'm not taking that option. My dad said I'm not taking that option because I only get it for 10 years. I said, dad, that's not accurate. You get it for life. Mom is the one that will be hurt after 10 years. He didn't know that. And then option three is called joint life with 100% to the survivor. So my dad took that option, so the check he was getting lifetime. 

The day he died, that same dollar amount continued to my mother until she died. When both die, there's nothing left. So it's all gone. Because the state of Florida is investing that money to guarantee income streams for two lives. And then the fourth one is joint life with two thirds. A lot of confusion on this one. So the two thirds, I get the check, I die, my wife gets two-thirds of what I was getting, okay? What people don't know, is if the spouse dies first, you also are reduced down to two thirds. 

I've had people come to my office angry, you know, the state of Florida misled me, division retirement misled me. I said, No sir, they did not. It's in bold print right there. What happened is this, you saw that that benefit was greater than option three, less than two and you locked on it and took it thinking that upon your death, she gets to live on less. But you didn't ask the other question. If she dies first, can you live on this? And it's pretty sobering when you have to have that conversation. Maybe I can help you. 

Maybe we can do a little rescue plan here, talk to him about your other assets. But those are the four options. And some people say there should not be a pension plan. And I'm convinced that the day is coming when you're going to find that more and more pressure is going to be on the states to get rid of a pension plan and have more of what we have now with the FRS investment plan. So a new hire, you're hired today, you can do the pension plan or the investment plan. 

If you know you're not staying until you're vested eight years, you might want to take the investment plan because I'm leaving in a year or two and not do the pension. But corporate America went there a long time ago, back in the 80s. They said wait a minute, we're gonna give up the pension plan and have a defined contribution plan called a 401k. And all retirement plans come under two categories. It's either a defined benefit plan, like the FRS pension or a defined contribution. 

Let's spend a minute on that. And defined benefit is based on a formula based on number of years of service, what was my income and a factor. So I get a percentage of my income paid out to me. A defined contribution plan, like the FRS investment plan, or a 401k, that's different. That's based on how much money went in. And whatever chunk of money is there at the end of the rainbow, I, the employee have the pressure and the burden of handling that to make sure it lasts me forever. So the pension is good because it takes away all of the investment decisions for you. 

Because the State Board of Administration does all the investing and they're responsible for backing up the income. Now, 2008 pension, all pensions took a big hit. Today, there's worry that pensions are what we call solvent. Are they actuarially solvent, meaning can they meet the obligations into the future? And I can't speak for the state of Florida. I can't speak for the State Board of Administration. But I think they're doing a good job. And I think people who dig deep into it will see that our pension plan for our state employees in Florida is better than most. Very solid. 

Steve: I'm sure that'll be comforting to people who listen to this. So as we look at the various options, is there anything else people need to know? Anything else you want to cover here today? 

Making Sure the Plan is Solvent

John: Well, just a little bit, not much about the contribution. I have people who come in and they're angry that they're having to contribute 3% to the pension plan. And I'm trying to help people understand. Personally, I think we all should have to contribute. You got to have a little bit of skin in the game. That's the way I see it. But it's so easy if you've not done something and all of a sudden you have to pay into it, we complain. 

And we all do it, you know? But just understand that that's just another way of making sure the plan is more solvent to take care of not only you but the people behind you. It's important. And I would say this, final thoughts on this topic will simply be I have in front of me right now, the plan document. It's very complicated. I mean, there's formulas for it. What percent do you get when you retire? You know, should you retire early? Should you wait until the maximum? 

And it's not unlike social security. We'll get to that. But I would simply say, Steve, that it's not just looking at four numbers on a piece of paper when you get your estimate, and say Oh, I'm going to pick this one. You can do that. I think that's a mistake. It should be part of a comprehensive retirement income plan, not just a retirement plan. And I like to do what I call a retirement rehearsal for my clients. We take every stream of income you got, we put it into our model, we project you out to age 100, and see how it works. I think that's a better approach. But each person has to make their own choice. 

Steve: I want to do two things here before we wrap up. One, I want to give folks a little bit of a preview for what's coming next. And I also want them to know how to get in touch with you if they've got questions. So, what do we have coming next in the series? 

Coming Soon...

John:  Well, I think the next thing we want to cover is going to be should you defer money. Should you be in the deferred compensation plan, sometimes called a 457 Deferred Comp, or 403 b if you're in the school teacher of the university system? I think it'd be fun talking about what happens in the future. You know, we're all programmed to think that when we retire in a lower tax bracket, so I'm going to talk about some of that. 

Okay, great. That's perfect. So we'll cover that next time. Where can folks get a hold of you if they've got questions? Maybe they're having to make these decisions right now? Well, they can reach me at my office at 850-562-3000. I'll repeat that, 850-562-3000, or the website, johnhcurry.com. Johnhcurry.com

Steve: Perfect. Well, my friend, thank you again for sharing a little bit of your insights and wisdom with us. And we will be back folks, with another episode in this series talking about deferred compensation. Doesn't get any more exciting than that, does it? 

John: Well, it's nice to have the compensation. And you're going to need it deferred so you can enjoy it later. 

Steve: That's right. That's right. All right. Thanks, everyone. 

Voiceover: If you'd like to know more about John Curry's services, you can request a complimentary information package by visiting johnhcurry.com/podcast. Again, that is johnhcurry.com/podcast. Or you can call his office at 850-562-3000. Again, that is 850-562-3000. John H. Curry, chartered life underwriter, chartered financial consultant accredited estate planner, masters in science and financial services, certified and long term care, registered representative and financial advisor of Park Avenue Securities LLC. 

Securities products and services and advisory services are offered through Park Avenue Securities, a registered broker-dealer and investment advisor. Park Avenue Securities is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Guardian. North Florida Financial Corporation is not an affiliate or subsidiary of Park Avenue Securities. Park Avenue Securities is a member of FINRA and SIPC. This material is intended for general public use. 

By providing this material, we are not undertaken to provide investment advice for any specific individual or situation or to otherwise act in a fiduciary capacity. Please contact one of our financial professionals for guidance and information specific to your individual situation. All investments contain risk and may lose value. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Guardian and its subsidiaries, agents or employees do not provide legal tax or accounting advice. 

Please consult with your attorney, accountant and or tax advisor for advice concerning your particular circumstances. Not affiliated with the Florida Retirement System. The Living Balance Sheet and the Living Balance Sheet logo are registered service marks of The Guardian Life Insurance Company of America, New York, New York, Copyright 2005 to 2020. This podcast is for informational purposes only. Guest speakers and their firms are not affiliated with or endorsed by Park Avenue Securities or Guardian and opinions stated are their own.

2020-110011 Expires 10/2022

Concept First — What Does Retirement Look Like For You?

This week’s episode of The Secure Retirement Podcast marks the beginning of a special series focused on the specific concerns of members of the Florida Retirement System. However, the key topics covered in this series will still relate, in principle, to any retiree, regardless of whether they are a member of the FRS. 

“I have clients from across all walks of life— doctors, lawyers, business owners, and we all have something in common. All of us. And that is: someday, we have a vision of retirement,” says John. 

As always, with this series, John uses practical knowledge gained through 45 years of experience in retirement planning to provide insight, not only to members of the FRS, but to other retirees and those planning their retirement, so that they can retire with a sense of financial security.

We chat about why John specifically wants to help members of the FRS, as well as:

  • His retirement planning principles

  • Concept first— what does retirement look like to you?

  • What working with a retirement planner looks like

  • And, what to expect from the rest of this special series

Listen now…

Mentioned in this episode:

Transcript

Steve Gordon: Welcome to John H. Curry's Secure Retirement Podcast. I am not your normal host, but I am standing in for the host. My name is Steve Gordon and I am actually here to turn the tables on Mr. Curry. 

And we're going to do a special series here on the podcast, really focused on the specific concerns of members of the Florida Retirement System, but even if you are not a member of the Florida Retirement System, what we're going to cover here actually will apply to you in principle and certainly worth listening to as we go through, we're going to get into really all of the key topics that affect everyone related to retirement. And I know this is going to be a real great service to folks. So before we dive in, I first want to welcome your normal host and my guest today, Mr. Curry. John, welcome.

John Curry: Hello, Steve. Nice to have the tables turned.

Steve: Yeah, I know. 

John: Literally. 

Steve: Right. Well, I'm excited for this. We've been planning this for a little while and, you know, I think your wisdom in these areas really gonna be helpful to a lot of folks. You've been working with members of the Florida Retirement System for

John: 45 years.

Steve: And so, you know, you have a lot of experience. You know, as I always like to tell my clients in my marketing practice that, you know, I've created 1000 marketing plans, you're only ever going to do one. Same is true with retirement plans. You've probably seen thousands and people listening to this only really ever get to do one. So you've seen all the variables at play. But I'm curious, why the specialization in the Florida Retirement System and why this particular series? Why do you want to do it?

Why John Chose Retirement Planning

John: Well, it goes back to my grandfather. When my grandfather retired from DOT out of Phoenix Springs, Florida he chose option one with the Florida pension option thinking he was going to live a long time. When he died shortly before he turned 72 years old. My grandmother lived to be 94, two weeks shy of being 95. 

She lost that pension. So all those years, 20 something years, 27 years, I think it was, she had no pension. All she had was a small social security check. And you fast forward to my dad, my dad worked at the same place my grandfather did. He saw what my grandfather did and said I'm not making that mistake. So he chose option three with the state of Florida pension. 

He retired at 62, died at age 85. So 23 years he got that check, reliable check every month. And it was designed that when he died, the same check would continue to my mother. So it did exactly what it's supposed to do. She lived another year and a half and died. So I realized that they could have made better decisions had they had the information that I had. But over the years, they were both stubborn. They wouldn't listen. What do I know? I'm just a grandson or son in my 20s at the time. 

So that's what got me focused on specializing in the Florida Retirement System and members of the Florida Retirement System. I have clients from across all walks of life, you know, doctors, lawyers, business owners. We all have something in common, all of us. And that is someday, we have some vision of retirement. Now, mine is that I never fully retire, it is that I continue doing what I'm doing with people I want to do it with but when I want to do it. So I built retirement into it. But for some people, they truly want to retire. 

But for these two men, I saw what happened. And I saw what could have been better. And then a friend of mine who's a professor, retired now in his 90s, 95 years old, one day he came to me with a big box of stuff, dumped it on my desk and said I need your help. Help me. I said I don't know all that. He said please walk through it, learn it, help me. Those two scenarios, grandfather, father, and then later in life, this fellow friend, client asked me for help. I realized right then, that was it. It was like a calling. I had to do it.

Steve: Well, I know you've really focused in this area. And there are some unique challenges. But before we get into those, one of the things that I know about you as you approach this entire idea of retirement planning with a set of principles in mind. Can you walk us through what those principles are? 

Retirement Planning Principles

John: Absolutely. The very first one is protect what you have. I hear people all the time asking me to invest your money in ways that are too aggressive, so I can do that. But what happens if you lose 38 percent, like in 2008 when the market crashed and the s&p 500 was down 38%? So what if I take your money today and I promptly lose that? How would you feel? 

That would hurt. You might not recover from it because the five years leading up to retirement and the first five years of retirement are critical. You lose money then, you're in trouble. So number one principle is protect the asset. Number two, grow the asset. And number three, at some point, make sure that asset will pay you income that's reliable, preferably guaranteed reliable. But those are the concepts I'll look at. 

And I also look at planning comes first, before you go look for products. Just had a guy call, he wants me to do, focus on life insurance for him. I said I'll do that, but would you mind if we just do the planning first? Because I don't even know what kind of policy to get you. But some people, they gtt their mind so made up. I want this and only this. And, you know, you try to respect that but at the same time, it'd be like going to your doctor and you say, Hey, Doc, I need some penicillin. And what you really need is amoxicillin.

Steve: Break that down a little bit because, I mean, it sounds simple enough. Yes, you have to plan first. You sort of have this, this idea of concepts first. So, what does that mean?

John: Well, the details don't matter if you don't buy the concept. Agree? If you don't like the concept of retirement in general, then why should I get deep into the details? All I'm gonna do is confuse you or frustrate you. So let's first get an understanding of what retirement means to you. In the worksheets I use, what's your vision of retirement? And most people can't answer that. They're like, I don't know. Well, why would you retire if you don't know what you want to do? Let's get some clarity because my job is to bring some clarity, some leadership and competence to the table for you. 

But if you don't have any clue as to what you want in retirement, why would you want to retire? And they go, Oh, good point. So the first concept is, let's understand what retirement is. And if you agree, we got to work on what that looks like, then we start the planning process. But it first starts with what does retirement look like? Your vision, not mine. I know what mine is. Mine's nailed. I'm retired now, to be honest. You know, I collect social security, two pensions. I work, Stev,e because I want to, not because I have to.

Steve: I watch you. You and I know each other pretty well. I know you work because you enjoy it. It's fun. And you love getting up and helping people. So concepts first, I get that, and then you roll into the planning. And then you touch briefly on the different parts of that protection, growth, income. And so paint a picture. When a typical person comes in to work with you, what is that interaction? When you take somebody through this, what does the interaction look like?

John’s Planning Process

John: Well, the first thing is we, I tell everybody, we're going to invest about an hour, hour and a half together in our first meeting. We're gonna get to know each other. I'll ask you questions, you'll share with me your financial data. And we'll determine number one, are we a fit? I have no false delusions, I'm not for everybody, okay? Some people should do it themselves or find somebody else, but the ones where we're a fit, then we will engage and go to work. But the first thing that I walk them through, our planning process. We look at everything they've got. Something as mundane as car insurance and homeowners. 

And I've always had people ask me, Why do you care? You don't sell those products. I don't sell those products. But I don't want you to be my client and get hurt because something was overlooked. So I look at everything. And then I'll refer you back to the appropriate person. If I find that your deductibles or your liability limits aren't right for you, or think they aren't, I'll send you back to your property casualty agent, because I'm not licensed in that area so I'm not going to give you advice on it other than to say, Steve, go talk with your agent. 

Here's what I think. Talk to them. Sometimes pick up the phone and call them right then. But we do the same thing. Car Insurance, home insurance, health insurance, which is a big issue for people in retirement. Many people continue working longer than they want to because they're losing health insurance. Legal documents, Again, I'm not a lawyer so why do I care if you have a will or not? 

Well, I don't want to do all the work for you and then upon your death, it all disappears because of lawsuits. And then, of course, we'll look at protection. What do you have in life insurance? How much life insurance should you have in retirement? And then we get into the retirement assets, savings, investments, retirement and liabilities. Do you have a mortgage? Do you have credit card debt? Car loans? How do you plan on handling that when you retire? And then we look at every stream of cash flow, money coming in money going out. We look at all of it.

Steve: I know it's, having gone through it myself, it's a comprehensive process. So we are doing a series here on different issues that members of the Florida Retirement System, and really everybody, needs to think about and pay attention to. As we wrap up this kind of introductory episode in the series, can you give us a little bit of a preview of what's to come?

Everyone’s Situation is Different and Should Have an Individual Approach

John: Absolutely. The, first of all, everything we're going to be talking about now applies to every person who has a job, with the exception of FRS pensions specifically, but everyone is going to have some type of retirement money in all likelihood. Either they have a 401K, a 403B, or they have an IRA, a SEP plan if they're self-employed. 

So those who are not members of the Florida Retirement System, you can just substitute those things. But number one for FRS members is, do you take the pension or the investment plan? If you're already in the pension, you probably want to stay there. Then we talked about does it make sense to defer money into the future with a 457 Deferred Comp Plan or a 403B plan? Many people have been told put money in these plans because when you retire, you'll be in a lower tax bracket. 

We're not seeing that. Most of the people I work with, they're in the same tax bracket, if not higher, when they come out of retirement, into retirement. Which pension option should you choose? I touched on that at the very beginning about my grandfather and my father. Too many people have just been told by well-meaning friends, take this option, that's it. It shouldn't be done that way. You may be in a position because of having other assets or life insurance in a place that you can take a different option than maybe your friend did. 

So I tell people, I'll listen to whatever you say but I'm going to design a plan based on what I know about you, present it to you, and then you get to vote, you decide. What age should you retire? Should you retire at 62? Should you continue working as long as possible? When do you want to retire? And that leads me to a discussion about DROP. Should I go into the DROP program or stay out of DROP and just keep working? 

Some people get into DROP and later they regretted it, Steve, because they said I don't really want to leave now. But if you're in the DROP program, in ten to five years, you got to go. And I've had people who are so anxious, made a mistake, I should not have done that. So that's an important decision. And then social security. Do you take social security at age 62, the earliest you can get it? Do you wait until full retirement age which is between 66 and 67, depending upon the year you were born? Or do you delay all the way to age 70 to get the maximum benefit? 

Again, well-meaning people will say take it at 62 because the system is going to be bankrupt and get your money as early as possible. Well, first of all, I don't buy into that. I did start mine at 66, time-valued money, I didn't want to wait until 70. Even though I'm still working, I saved the money, invest the money, sometimes I use it to buy, for life insurance premiums, but I didn't want to wait. And then Medicare, you have Part A, which you will automatically be enrolled in 65, then you have Part B. If you're still working and under a group plan, you can delay Part B until you actually retire. 

A lot of confusion on that. Also, a lot of confusion about what the premiums would be for Part B because many people are realizing they're paying higher than the normal Medicare Part B premium. At the time of this recording. It's about $140 a month. But you may have to pay, I call it a surtax because of your income level. It's called IRMA. And then the biggie is what do you do with all this money? The old law said at 70 and a half, you had to take a required minimum distribution. The new tax law under the Secure Act stretched that out to 72. 

But at some point, you've got to start taking money. And they're not doing that to guarantee you income streams. They're doing that to recover the taxes that you never paid. They meaning Congress and the IRS. So those are some of the topics that all of us will face. I believe everybody will face those. The only question is do you have a pension? Most people today don't. So if you don't have one, you might want to be asking yourself, how do I create one for myself?

Steve: I love it. Well, we're going to get into all of those topics. I think we're going to have a dedicated episode on each one as we go. And so folks, as you're listening to this, make sure you are subscribed to John's Secure Retirement Podcast. You can do that in Apple Podcasts. If you got an Apple iPhone, right there on your phone. If you've got an Android. you can do it right in Google Podcasts. 

And you can also listen to them on John's website. John, I know you'll be sending emails out to folks every time a new one of these episodes is released in the series. And so look for those emails as well. If you're not on John's email list, go to johnhcurry.com and get on his email list. And John, before we wrap this episode up and move on, I want to give you an opportunity to share any final thoughts. And I also would like you to share with folks how they can get in touch with you if they want to have a conversation.

Tend to Your Personal Economy First

John: Well, my final thoughts will simply be this, first of all, thank you for doing the interview for me. I've got the stuff in my head and you've told me over the years, get it out. And that's why I did the first book and we're doing another book also, so that'll be coming. But the final word would be simply this, pay attention to your own personal economy. There's a lot of anger out there today. There's a lot of divisiveness, there's a lot of worry and anxiety. Take care of your own economy. Take care of your planning. 

On the airplane, the flight attendants tell you if the mask drops, put it on yourself first. Same thing with your planning. Take care of yourself first and you'll be able to weather the storm just fine. And if you'd like to know more about my information, how to get in touch with us, the best thing to do is call the office at 850-562-3000, 850-562-3000. I would suggest people start with a simple telephone appointment, 20, 25-minute discussion. Or you can go to my website, johnhcurry.com, johnhcurry.com. And a lot of resources there, as you mentioned the podcast, but there's a lot of other good data there too.

Steve: Absolutely. Absolutely. Well, folks, stay tuned for the next episode in this series where we are going to cover the FRS pension and investment options. And we'll be back, I guess about two weeks with that next episode. John, thanks. 

John: Thank you. 

Voiceover: If you'd like to know more about John Curry's services, you can request a complimentary information package by visiting johnhcurry.com/podcast. Again, that is johnhcurry.com/podcast. Or you can call his office at 850-562-3000. Again, that is 850-562-3000. John H. Curry, chartered life underwriter, chartered financial consultant accredited estate planner, Master's in science and financial services, certified in long term care, registered representative and financial advisor at Park Avenue Securities LLC. 

Securities products and services and advisory services are offered through Park Avenue Securities, a registered broker-dealer and investment advisor. Park Avenue Securities is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Guardian. North Florida Financial Corporation is not an affiliate or subsidiary of Park Avenue Securities. Park Avenue Securities is a member of FINRA and SIPC. This material is intended for general public use. 

By providing this material, we are not undertaken to provide investment advice for any specific individual or situation or to otherwise act in a fiduciary capacity. Please contact one of our financial professionals for guidance and information specific to your individual situation. All investments contain risk and may lose value. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Guardian and subsidiaries, agents or employees do not provide legal tax or accounting advice. 

Please consult with your attorney, accountant or tax advisor for advice concerning your particular circumstances. Not affiliated with the Florida Retirement System. The Living Balance Sheet and the Living Balance Sheet logo are registered service marks of The Guardian Life Insurance Company of America in New York, New York, copyright 2005 2020. This podcast is for informational purposes only. Guest speakers and their firms are not affiliated with or endorsed by Park Avenue Securities or Guardian and opinions stated are their own.

2020-110010 Expires 10/2022

The Importance of Tax Diversification in Retirement

We don’t know with any kind of certainty what tax rates will be in the future, which means that planning your finances into retirement can be both stressful and intimidating, but it doesn’t have to be. This week, John and April discuss tax diversification and how a wide range of investments now will afford you more choices later in life. 

April says, “The main thing that we want our clients to have is more options when it gets to retirement, not less; we don't want you to be painted into a corner.”

Together, John and April have over 50 years of combined experience in helping clients plan for retirement and they use that knowledge this week to shed light on the importance of tax diversification in your planning process.

They speak in detail about:

  • Tax deferred accounts, taxable accounts, and tax favored accounts

  • Tax planning strategies— where should you be saving your money?

  • The impact of taxes on retirement income

  • Adapting to tax and market changes

  • And more

Listen now…

Transcript:

April Schoen: Hello everyone. Good afternoon. Thank you for joining us today as we're going to be talking about tax diversification in retirement. My name is April Schoen and I am joined on the call today with John Curry. John is the author of Preparing for a Secure Retirement. Say hello, John.

John Curry: Hey folks, glad to be with you.

April: I'm excited about today's topic, John. I know we've had a lot of feedback so far with people being interested in the webinar and so I'm excited for us to go through everything that we have today. Before I get started, though, before we get started,

John: I'm looking forward to it also because this is a timely topic in light of the presidential election coming up soon as people started about taxes. So this is gonna be good.

April: A small little thing like the presidential election, right?

John: Correct.

April: Small changes there. Yeah, so I think we'll get into that and talk about how that can go with taxes, too and some changes we might see there. So we'll kind of go through all that together. Before we get into the meat of today's conversation, a couple of things I want to point out. One, we are recording today's webinar so we should have a replay for you available. We've had to kind of change up how we do our recording.

So just so you know, it may take one to two weeks for us to have that replay available on our website. But as soon as we have the replay available, we'll be sure to send out a link so everyone has a copy of that. The next thing I would say too, is just make sure if you haven't already grabbed a piece of paper and a pen, like I have here, because we're going to be going through a lot of information. And we're really going to be going through some strategies on tax planning.

So you may want to jot down some notes, you may have a question, or you may have something that says you know what, I really want to make sure that I go through this with John and April when we're on the phone. So just have that handy for you in case you need to take notes or have some questions you want to talk about later. So today, we're gonna be talking about tax diversification in retirement.

I do want to tell you though, a little bit about us and kind of who we are. So John and I are both advisors with North Florida Financial, and North Florida has, is headquartered in Tallahassee and they've been in business for about 50 years. We have locations now from Jacksonville all the way to Louisiana, and down to Tampa and Orlando. So we've seen a lot of growth. John has been in the financial services business since 1975. In fact, John, I meant to tell you the other day, congratulations, because you just hit 45 years.

John: That's correct. September 13. That's right.

April: So great accomplishment. So congratulations to you on that. I've been in financial services about 10 years. So I was with that previous firm before North Florida for about four and then came over to North Florida and I've been working with John ever since for about six and a half years. So time flies when you're having fun, right?

John: Absolutely. And if you're having fun, life is good.

April: Right. And taxes, I mean, this is tax diversification, retirement planning. These are things that we talk about with clients on a weekly basis, a daily basis, even. I know for you, you know, you've really focused most of your career on helping people when it gets to retirement and talking about social security and when should they take social security. Healthcare choices, right? So what are they going to do about health care, retirement, Medicare, required minimum distributions?

There were some changes last year with required minimum distributions and when you have to start taking money out of retirement accounts, which obviously impacts your taxes because as you know, when people, when you hit now 72, used to be 70, and you start taking money out those retirement accounts, you're gonna, you might get hit with a big tax bill.

So we're going to talk about that a little bit today, too and some things that you can do ahead of time to put yourself in a better position. Very good. I wanted to say too, John, you and I didn't get a chance to chat about this but we had several people, a lot of people reply to the email yesterday that went out asking about questions and what's their most important concern that they have when it comes to retirement or when it comes to financial planning?

And there were definitely some common themes. So I just kind of want to go through these for a few minutes. And I know we're going to kind of get through this today. There were lots of questions about health care in retirement, which I know we're going to, we have a Medicare webinar that we're probably going to do maybe in November, so just kind of be on the lookout for that.

We'll cover more about health care in retirement. But there were some questions about the best ways to have retirement accounts and invested to have sound investments, to have money that's going to last throughout your entire retirement. Very important. Talking about how to adapt to tax and market changes, we're definitely going to hit that today. And then there were some questions too, about just the best way to optimize withdrawals when it comes to taxes. So all great comments, very common themes there.

John: Let me jump in just a moment, what I'm going to be doing folks, at the end of our webinar is I'm going to do a case study and I'm going to be set, I'm going to walk you through some of the things I haven't done, when I talk you through it, I'm gonna walk you through some of the things applies to the material that we'll be covering today because some of the things that you're talking about writing an article, are the reasons why I have found one as inaccurate.

I believe that eating my own cooking. I'm giving advice, I need to be doing it myself. So what I'm gonna do today is walk you through, I'm gonna keep it kind of neutral so I don't get into too much detail about products. But I do think it's important that you hear, so please stay with us. And I'm gonna about 10 minutes and tie it together based on what I've done and what other people do and what my team and staff do. So just wanted to throw that in there.

April: Great. Thank you. It's a good segue. So what are we going to be talking about today? We're going to be talking about the different types of retirement investment accounts, we're going to go through half the tax status. So we're talking about tax-deferred, taxable and tax-favored accounts. We're going to talk about some tax planning strategies. As John mentioned, going through a case study, he's going to use himself as an example. And then we're also going to talk about how to use Roth IRAs and permanent life insurance when it comes to retirement planning.

I know some of you may have to jump off the car early because that does happen. I know a lot of you are joining us on your lunch hour. So if you do have to jump off early, I did want to go ahead and give you our contact information. We would recommend those of you on the call, those of you listening to a replay to schedule a time to speak with John, myself, anyone on our team. It would be about a 25 to 30-minute phone appointment.

And this would really just be an opportunity to talk about any goals, concerns you have about retirement planning. And then also, we can share with you a little bit more about our planning process and how we help clients. So John, the best number to be able to call the office to get a phone appointment with him is to call our main office number at 850-562-3000. That's 850-562-3000. And then you can call that number to get on my calendar as well. Or you can call me directly at 850-544-8464. All right, John, are we ready to roll up our sleeves and get to work?

John: Let's go to work. I always love doing these webinars because my view is and you know this was nice that I talked about it. How do we create value? And I'm convinced that by educating people and letting them know about possible dangers, as well as opportunities for creating value. So let's do a little value creation here.

April: Let's do it. Okay, so before we do get into the meat of today's presentation we do have some disclosures to go through with you. I won't bore you by reading this all to you. You all can sure read this yourself. But the main thing I want to point out here, the main point is that John and I are not CPAs or attorneys, so we cannot offer you tax or legal advice. And we do recommend that you consult your tax or legal advice regarding your own financial situation. I love this quote by Benjamin Franklin, I know you do too, John. But in this world, nothing can be said to be certain except death and taxes. Isn't that the truth?

So we're going to be definitely talking a lot about taxes today. So while we don't always know what tax rates will be in the future, what tax rates are going to be when you retire, that's why we believe it's so important for tax diversification. That's why we believe in tax diversification. So what does tax diversification even mean? It means that you have investments, that you have savings in a wide range of taxable accounts.

So maybe you have money in tax-deferred vehicles, like we're going to talk about, or tax-favored vehicles or taxable accounts. And by having money in different types of investments and retirement accounts, it's going to give you more options when it gets to retirement. And that's really the main thing that we want our clients to have is more options when it gets to retirement, not less. We don't want you to be painted into a corner. So we're going to walk through all three of those today and how they affect you from a tax planning standpoint.

So we're first going to talk about tax-deferred accounts. Now, tax-deferred accounts are the most common approach to retirement planning. I really want you to think here about a 401K or a 403B or a 457 Plan. Those are what we consider traditional retirement accounts. So with these, they're tax-deferred and you put money into them on a pre-tax basis. So you put money in today, you've not paid tax on it, it's gonna grow tax-deferred but when you go to take money out in the future, it's going to be 100% taxable at ordinary income rates.

Very important to know that. So while it's the most traditional route for retirement planning, it's not the most efficient when it comes to tax planning. So we're going to talk about that in a few minutes. But really, when it comes to tax-deferred accounts, there's two types. There's pre-tax, and there's post-tax. What that means is you've got tax-deferred vehicles that you put money in today that you haven't paid tax on, again, think that 401K, 403B, 457. It tax-deferred, and then when you go to take money out, it's all taxable. So that's contributions made with pre-tax dollars.

They are also tax-deferred accounts that you make with after-tax dollars. So you pay the tax today, you contribute to the account. Now, examples of these would be a non-deductible IRA and also non-qualified annuities. So here, you pay tax today, you don't pay while it's growing, the gains are tax-deferred. But when you go to take money out, it's going to again be most of it will be 100% taxable because the gains have to come out first. Very important there. And it'll be taxed at ordinary income rates.

So two types when it comes to tax-deferred. The next type of account we talked about are taxable. Now I call these taxed as you go. Most people think of them as like a regular investment account, money that you have in a money market or a CD, these would be considered taxable because you put money in today with after-tax dollars but you may have to pay tax while it's growing. These are the accounts that you get a 1099 on every year.

So some examples here would be a money market, a CD, mutual funds, stocks, bonds, and then also real estate rentals would qualify for this as well. It's kind of interesting. You know, John, we talk about this some time with taxable accounts because we get a question about from you like, Well, my account was down, like, let's say in a year like 2018 when their stock portfolio was down, but they still had to pay taxes. So it's kind of interesting, right? Like my account's down, I didn't take any money, I didn't get to enjoy any income but that tax bill still comes in..

John: Correct. That's not fun. Are you gonna explain why that happens?

Why Do We Get Tax Bills When Our Investments Lose Value?

April: Yeah. So I mean, we do get that question from people a lot. So there's a couple things that can happen in the account to create that. There can be interest payments that are made, which would be taxable dividends which are paid into the account. You know, you can have dividends reinvested. So you didn't receive the money, but you still have to pay tax like you did.

And there also could be some capital gain realizations as well from stock portfolios increasing or for the change in a portfolio. You know, if you've got an account that's actively managed and they're in there buying and selling stocks for you, well, that's gonna spit off some capital gain distributions as well. So just important to know that, but we call those taxed as you go. We could probably spend an entire webinar just talking about those types of accounts.

Next, is tax-favored. We're going to be spending most of our time talking about these. So tax-favored accounts, these are accounts that you put money in today with after-tax dollars, they grow tax-deferred and then when you go to take money out in the future, it comes out tax-free. So examples of tax-favored accounts are municipal bonds, Roth IRAs, 529 plans, and then cash value life insurance.

So we're going to be spending some time talking about those today. So again, the way tax-favored vehicles work is you pay tax today, you don't pay tax while it's growing and then in the future, when you can take money out, it comes out tax-free. The most important thing I want to point out here is with tax-favored accounts, you want to make sure that they're structured properly because you can run into some issues if they're not. Now we're going to get into some tax planning strategies. And so when it comes to where should you be saving your money, should I be using tax-deferred?

Should I be using taxable? Or should I be using tax-favored accounts? It comes down to what do you think that your taxes will be when you retire? So let me kind of give you some examples here. If you think that taxes will be higher when you get to retirement, then you should use more tax-favored accounts today. So that means you pay the tax today, they're going to grow tax-deferred, and then you get to have tax free income in retirement. So again, you're kind of biting the bullet today instead of deferring it to the future. So if you think you're going to have higher taxes in the future, you want to use tax-favored vehicles.

Now, let's talk about the opposite. What if you think that you'll have lower taxes in retirement? Well, if you think you'll be paying less taxes in the future, less taxes in retirement, then you should be using more tax-deferred vehicles like a 401K, a 403B, a 457. That way, you get the tax deduction today, but just remember that you're going to have to pay taxes on 100% of the withdrawal when you get to retirement.

So, John, I thought here, we could talk a little bit about what do we see in retirement planning because the majority of what we do on a weekly and daily basis is helping people when it comes to retirement planning and helping them pull together all their retirement income sources and really looking at what is their income going to look like in retirement? And so do we find that people pay less taxes or the same or more taxes in retirement? That's a question for you.

John: Most of the people we work with are paying the same or higher. Many people thought they were going to retire in a lower tax bracket and all of a sudden they say, whoops, what's happening? And by the way, this is a good point to make here. We don't want people to have less income in retirement. Most of the time people come to us, they say, Well, it looks like I'm going to retire and have about 50% or 60% of my pre-retirement earnings.

And I like that those questions. I've been asking this question for 45 years. Why wouldn't you want more money in retirement? Why do you want to take a pay cut? So why don't we do this? And for past 35 years, I really focus on this. Why don't we see first what your resources will provide you? You might be shocked that you have the same income or even higher in retirement.

And most people, as you know, they will they don't believe us until we illustrate it with our retirement reversals and they're like, holy cow, I'm better off than I thought. And that usually makes them understand, I will not be paying less taxes. I think I'll be in the same bracket or higher. Now we do find people who end up where they're structured or the way they quit working along the way, they are in a lower tax bracket. That is not very often.

April: Right. It's not the, it's not what we see most of the time. So here's another question for you too, John. And that is what do you think's going to happen with tax rates? So it's not just income, right? So we can have a conversation about what's your income going to be in retirement? Is your income going to be the same, higher or less? But then what about tax rates in general?

Tax Rates Throughout American History

John: Well, you gave a disclosure upfront. We have to tell everybody that we're not CPAs or tax attorneys. But when I was getting my master's degree in financial services, we had one entire course, not a class, one entire course on income taxes and the history of tax. And it's really fascinating. And our, I'm kind of a geek about this, our income tax in 1913 with a passage of the 16th amendment.

And if you go back and look at history, there wasn't an income tax, they all paid for the Civil War, but the US Supreme Court struck it down and said it was unconstitutional it went away. But if you take a look at the tax history, in 1913, the top bracket was 7%. 7%. And the newspaper articles then said temporary tax, and it was temporary. For three years it was 7%. The fourth year, the top bracket jumped all the way to 15%. Then we have something called wars, World War I, World War II, but in between, we had the Great Depression.

Top bracket during the Great Depression was only 25%. And, you know, I just had a thought. Tn the future we should do a webinar just on tax history and tax planning and encourage folks to back to their CPA or tax attorney and work on it. But for our purposes, I'll fast forward and talk about the top bracket, the 94%, top bracket 94%, and then get down to 70 and then later down to 50%.

And then 1980s, President Reagan pounded Congress so hard and said, hey, we got to reduce taxes. And they dropped the top bracket down to 28%. Now, what's interesting about this is even though the tax rates went down, very few of us paid the most income taxes. Why? Because they were controlling the levers and they took away some things that we use to be able to get it up, such as your interest on a car loan, your credit card interest was deductible back then. They took that away. It pays out. So just because we look at tax rates, it doesn't mean that you're gonna be paying less tax.

In fact, you may find that you're in a lower tax bracket but because of the nature of the investments you have, that you're paying the same tax are higher than you were before. And if you look at today, the top bracket is 37%. Where is it going? I believe, I'll be 68 in December, I believe that during my lifetime that I'm going to see tax rates back up to 50%, maybe even 60%. I hope I'm wrong. But if you look at all the spendings going on, good intentions, a lot of people need help out there but you can't just keep spending money without finding a way to get that money back.

You got to finance it. So if you look at history, every time there's been wars, tax rates went up. Things get good, come down, then they go back up again. So again, well, I don't claim to be an expert in this because I don't do taxes every day. I don't even do my own tax return. I have a CTA do that. But I am fascinated about how can we find ways to reduce taxes? because every dollar we save in tax is $1 you get to keep. Either spend it, save it or invest it. That's probably not what you wanted but that's those are my thoughts.

April: Oh, that's perfect. Yeah, I mean, it goes right back to what we're saying. It's not just what's your income going to be, but what our tax rates gonna be. And I agree with you. You can't convince me that tax rates will be lower in the future. I just don't see how they can be. So if that's the case, then we've got to start looking at some more tax-favored vehicles now while tax rates are low. You know, we know what tax rates are now and we know they're not expected to change until about 2025 right now. So you've got next year or five years that you can really start to take advantage of these tax-favored accounts.

John: Let me just add one more thing here. I hear people literally every day that I see clients for talk to them on the telephone, I'm getting this more and more. What do you think's gonna happen with the economy depending upon his elected president? And I like to answer this was, why are you asking?

Are you worried about your money? Are you worried about what's gonna happen? They go, yes. So what are you doing to manage your personal economy? You can't control the global economy, you can't control the US economy, state economy or even the local economy, but you can take action to control yours. And taxes is part of it. That's your biggest expense, tax coming out of the paycheck. Or when you do quarterly estimates. So I like to tell people, I don't know what each party can do or will do regarding taxes.

I can tell you this. I do remember that George Bush number one campaigned, he says no new taxes. Read my lips, no new taxes. And then he had to raise the tax rates because the economy needed more tax. So when I see all these ads from both candidates, I'm kind of like, yeah, you know what? If you need to raise taxes, you're going do it no matter if it's Democrats or Republicans. So I tell people quit watching that stuff. Work on your own.

April: Right. Work on your personal economy. Okay, John, let's switch gears a little bit. I want to talk a little bit more about these different types of accounts and how they're taxed. So again, you're gonna see here, we've got taxable, tax-deferred and tax-favored. The only account out of those three that you're going to get a 1099 from every year is the taxable accounts. I guess that you even get those on like your money market, CDs, you know, you're going to get your 1099 on those too. So same thing there. You do you have to pay tax on the gains and they're not tax-deferred.

Now that tax-deferred accounts, you don't have to pay tax while it's growing, you don't have to pay tax on the gains until you start to pull it out. But as soon as you make a withdraw, you do have to pay tax on that. And then the tax-favored, you do not get a 1099. You don't have to pay on the gains. And then as long as it's structured properly, you don't have to, you don't have any taxes when the money comes out either a retirement income. So just kind of want to go through some details on those three types of accounts.

Now, when it comes to retirement planning, the most common, like we talked about earlier, is people tend to use 401Ks, 403Bs, 457s, maybe they have a pension. Those are the most common approaches to retirement planning. But we have a list here. There's a whole, there's other alternatives out there for you when it comes to retirement planning. So you've got CDs, mutual funds, you've got regular IRAs, Muni Bonds. And the two that we're going to focus on today are ones that tend to be overlooked when it comes to retirement planning, and that is Roth IRAs and permanent life insurance.

Now, when we look at each one of these categories, we want to pay attention to the contributions. Do you, is it pre-tax or post-tax? On the growth side of things, are a taxable, non-taxable or tax-deferred? And then most important to me is on the income side, how is the tax going to be treated when you need to start taking income from this account? Like I said, we're gonna really do a dive into Roth IRAs and private life insurance. Kind of funny, john, about Roth IRAs, I'm meeting with a client that has a, she's a new client and she has an advisor elsewhere.

And she came to us because she came to one of our webinars and we were talking about Roth IRAs. And she said to me that her other advisor would not talk to her about Roth IRAs. I just kept telling her, you don't need it, you don't need it, you don't need it, don't worry about it. But she wasn't what do they mean? I don't know why they would say that. She just wanted to have a conversation and be educated about what her options were. And we find that people just, other advisors just don't talk about these things.

John: Well, part of it is because it takes work. I mean, we just had a situation where Jay and I were helping a client. Asked a question that took us off track and we agreed as to how we would handle it. We did our research, came back and helped that client. But in 45 years, I've never refused to help a person be educated because every time I do that, April, that knowledge is now in my brain and I'm able to use that to create value for other people. So I don't look at that as being wasted time and shame on the advisors. But that's okay because that person didn't do their job, now you have a new client.

April: That's right, yeah. And I said, I told her up front, I said, look, I may come to the same conclusion, you know, we may look at your plan and say, No, we don't think that you need this. But I'm going to explain to you why and I'm going to look, I'm going to show it to you. At the end of the day, it's your plan, not mine so I'm gonna show you what it looks like and you get to decide.

John: I think we have an obligation, you know, I've talked about this a lot, we have an obligation to share with you and find out number one, what do you want. I'm not going to, I'm going to be like a medical doctor, I'm not going to write a prescription for something that I know is not going to help you. If it's going to hurt you, I know I'm not gonna write the prescription. I'm going to listen and use that metaphor of a medical doctor and I'm gonna listen to what's going on. And then I'm going to recommend the right plan of action based on my knowledge about you and the products or strategies involved.

But I think that all the time, you should be told the good, the bad and the ugly of everything, whether it be our financial planning process we do, our retirement planning process. I tell people, I'd go to Ronald Reagan, and President Reagan, I love his line. Trust, but verify. Trust but verify. Make us verify. We'll make you verify. You tell me something, I'll say show me. That's what we do for clients. Look at everything.

The Impact of Taxes on Retirement Money

April: Good. Well, let's do a deep dive. Let's talk about some examples of when it comes to taxes and the impact of taxes on retirement money. So we're going to look at two different options here. The first option we're going to look at is if you take 100% of your withdrawal, in this case, we're looking at $100,000, from a, one of those tax-deferred vehicles we talked about like a 401k a 403B or 457.

These were accounts that were made with pre-tax contributions. What does it look like from a tax standpoint if you take $100,000 out of those types of accounts? So in this case, we're assuming someone might be in the 32% tax bracket so they pay 32% in taxes and they have a net withdrawal, a net income of 68,000. So now we're going to contrast that by saying what if you again, had tax diversification and not all of your assets are in those traditional retirement accounts, but you have true tax diversification?

And what if you took half of the money from those tax-deferred vehicles and you took half of it from a tax-favored vehicle like whole life insurance or a Roth IRA? What does that look like? So again, 50,000, from the 401K, 50,000 from tax-favored vehicles, you now only have to pay 16,000 in taxes. So you have a net income of 84,000. You save 16,000 in taxes by just having different vehicles for planning. That's the impact of having tax diversification.

Let's dig into Roth IRAs first and then we'll talk about the permanent life insurance. I do find sometimes that Roth IRAs are overlooked or they're used as like a small percentage of someone's overall portfolio. They kind of, it's like, we had some clients a couple weeks ago. Remember, John, they said, Yeah, it sounds like a good idea like 15 years ago, but then we never really did anything with it. So they just like set it up and didn't do anything with the Roth IRAs.

John: Well, let's talk about the real reason that most people will not do a conversion from a regular IRA to a Roth. It sounds good. It sounds great at a social event, having a glass of wine and talking about it, then all of a sudden, when it comes time to write that check to pay the taxes to switch it over, that's when people go, Ummm, they'll get cold feet. I'm thinking of a situation we had with rather large Ira and guy was insisting on making the change.

But once we showed him the numbers he said I'm not paying that much in taxes. Not in one fell swoop anyway. But later in life, somebody's gonna pay tax, either he will, his wife will, ultimately or his children. Eventually, somebody's gonna pay the tax. So that's one of the biggest reasons is I think I'm going to be deferring the tax. He thinks I'm saving taxes. You're not saving taxes, you're simply deferring to the future.

Roth IRAs and Life Insurance as an Investment

April: Yeah, let's kind of focus on the Roth IRAs, when we're looking at doing a Roth conversion, as you pointed out there, there's a couple things that we have to pay attention to. You know, how much tax are you going to have to pay today to do that conversion? How long will it take in the Roth IRA for you to recoup your taxes? So a lot of that comes down to when are you gonna need money from that account? Do you have time for it to grow and make up the difference from paying the taxes off today? Can you do it over several years, so it's not one big chunk?

So there's a lot of different things when it comes to doing some Roth conversions that we can look at with clients. But Roth IRAs, like I said, they're tax-favored, you put money in today with after-tax dollars, you're not taxed on them while they're growing and then as long as it's structured properly, you're going to have tax free income later. You can have a wide range of investment vehicles. You know, I know for us, with our broker-dealer, we pretty much have all types of investments available for us. And the Roth IRA is just how an account is titled, you know, the Roth IRA or traditional IRA.

And that doesn't really impact your ability when it comes from like an investment standpoint. One of things that I like about Roth IRAs is there's no required minimum distribution. So the IRS isn't telling you when you have to take money from these accounts. You're not forced to take an RMD if you don't need it. And then it also passes tax-free to your beneficiaries as well. So some really good characteristics of Roth IRAs. And we'd be happy to go through more about that in detail with anyone on the call on a one on one basis.

Now, I'm going to talk about life insurance, about life insurance and how it can help you from a retirement planning standpoint. So I'm sure most of you are familiar with life insurance and how it provides a tax-free benefit to your beneficiaries upon your passing, which can help your family, can help your business upon your passing. But one of the things you may not realize is how it can help you from a wealth-building strategy, a wealth-building point. And so we're going to kind of walk through that with you today, especially when it comes to the tax planning side of things.

So life insurance is considered a social good. It's a benefit to society. And so because of that, it has very special tax benefits that is not available on other investments. So the death benefit comes in tax-free to your beneficiaries. The cash value in the policy grows tax-deferred. That cash value is liquid and if you need that cash value for retirement income, it can come back to you tax-free. And that's all because life insurance is considered a social good, and therefore it has these special tax benefits. There are some other benefits with it as well.

Again, most people are pretty familiar with how life insurance has the death benefit that's going to protect your family or your business but you may not be aware of some of the other benefits with life insurance or some of the living benefits. So the asset, the cash value that's growing in that policy, it can be a key component to your overall portfolio, your overall strategy.

Let me give you an example. So in March this year, March of 2020, when the S&P was down 30 to 35%, that cash values in my life insurance policy were not down. In fact, they never have a bad day and they only go up. The cash values are not correlated to the stock market at all. So it complements very well what you may have when it comes to investments in retirement accounts. It complements the stock portion of your portfolio very well.

John: I'll make a comment there, when you're my age, April, you'll appreciate that even more because I have people around me who ask me constantly, How can you be so calm and not be worried about the stock market all the time? Because I have a lot of money in the whole life cash value policies owned.

And later I'll talk about that more but it serves as a buffer for the market. I look at it as being like a bond portfolio with extra benefits. And I don't have all the risks of the bonds because bonds do have a risk also. That's another topic in the future on investments. But I promise you, you fast forward about 30 years, you'll be looking back and saying, Wow, the old guy was right. I do appreciate it now.

April: That's right. No, I was just talking to someone yesterday, and we were talking about the different types of life insurance. And you're really looking at two ends of the spectrum. You know, you've got term insurance and whole life. And so I gave her my example. You know, I have term insurance to protect my family. You know, I'm married, I have two small boys, they're four and seven years old.

And so if something happens to me tomorrow, I want to make sure that they're taken care of. And when I say that, I don't mean that my husband just gets to pay off the mortgage. I mean, I want financially, life to be the same for them. And that's very important to me. So I have term insurance in place to take care of that. My whole life policies, that's wealth-building, that's my, that's a savings vehicle that I use in conjunction with my other, my stock portfolios that I have.

Again, one is not better than the other, they complement each other very well. And I think once you kind of, we don't have definitely enough time to go through all of that today but once you kind of see it, I think it makes sense for most people. Alright, let's kind of go through this, the life insurance, they have guarantees, they've got dividends that help increase the cash value of the death benefit and then they also have some other living benefits as well. There's no RMDs on the life insurance just like with Roth IRAs.

There's creditor protection. I can tell you that for Florida, we have maximum creditor protection on cash values from lawsuits or creditors. That's not true for every state. Some states have a limit on it. And then there's also depending on the state that you're in, you can have what's called a long term care writer. And we do have that available in Florida as well. So know that they're available.

John: We should point out that we are licensed in several states. We have classes all across the country. So that's why we have to put in there depending upon the state because we have clients all over so we have to check with the state you live in to see what can I do.

April: Right, right. Exactly. Yes, I know I'm in like eight different states. I think, John, you're in, 15.

John: I'm not sure. I just know that I'm having to add one every now and then because of people calling us from another state or somebody who needs help. So, have a hard time keeping up with.

April: So good. Okay. So I want to just, you know, kind of recap here. We've got these different types of tax accounts that we talked about. Tax-deferred, taxable and tax-favored. So, John, I thought this would be a good opportunity for you to kind of go through the case study that we were talking about those types of accounts.

Big Picture Financial Planning

John: All right, good. Well, I'm gonna attempt to do this in about 10 minutes so we can actually not keep everybody a full hour. Let's just start with where you were just talking about life insurance. When I was younger, like you, I wanted life insurance in place to take care of my family. So I wanted a lot of term insurance. Our philosophy is, especially for talking with families that are still in the growth mode or building, they get young children, that they should get all the life insurance that they can get. If it's all term insurance, that's fine.

You get all the protection you can. In today's environment with COVID proves that point. Our clients who have large amounts of term life insurance on them or their children or grandchildren, they sleep better. Not because that person could die. That could happen anytime. I have a heart-shaped pillow sitting over here on a little stand in my office, looking at it right now, to remind me about my heart surgery back in 2008, July 10, 2008. That's to remind me that I could die at any moment.

The person across from me could. But also have the heart big enough to talk about issues that people don't want to talk about. No normal well-adjusted person wants to talk about dying, okay? But if we don't talk about dying and what we want to happen when we die, we're gonna leave behind a mess. A mess. And we need to have that planned out. So the life insurance will take care of our families now, take care of any debts when we die but I'm going to focus on it from the standpoint of what it does for me today.

If I wanted to, I could flip the switch, turn the cash values into additional retirement income. And I can do it in a manner where most if not all of it would be zero tax. Zero. So here's what I've had. Over the years, I had plans in place that should I become totally disabled and not able to work, then the premiums would be waived by the insurance company because I have something that's called waiver premium on the policies that came off of at 65. So I had a savings plan that would be spelled completely if I couldn’t work.

Builds up cash. Didn't pay $1 tax on that money as it grew. And my death benefit grew. And I have policies now that in retirement if I wanted to, I could stop making payments. I continue to pay the premiums because the cash value is growing much greater than what I pay in. I have the policies on me but also family members, ex-wife, daughter, son, grandchildren.

So why would I do that? Because it allows me to put money somewhere and avoid the tax because it's tax-favored. And I'm creating something that will benefit people long after I'm dead and gone. Long after I'm dead and gone. And another practical reason is in 2012, our son had a terrible accident, he was beat up very badly in that accident. And for a long time, he would not have been eligible to buy life insurance. So every time that he has what's called an insurer ability option come up, I exercise that. I do it myself. I own the policy and I do that.

So that's where the life insurance kicks in. And some people think, Well, you know, I don't want to buy life insurance because it's not the best place to put my money. Keep an open mind and look at it as part of the overall plan, you may change your mind. Then I happen to like annuities. I love annuities. I have two non-qualified annuities. I've got one, non-qualified, means non-retirement. So it's not tied to a tax-deductible like an IRA. I have those because I want what they do, okay?

Forget about the name for a minute. One is invested in the S&P 500. And I have protection on the downside. So as the market goes down, which it will, then on the anniversary, the chair of the company will look at that and say whoops, you lost money. We're going to make it whole. At the same time, it has what we call a trigger. And if the S&P 500 is flat or positive, and I'm sure they, a certain percentage, as we're recording this, happens to be 12 and a quarter.

So that's one plan I have. I look at that as an investment account with protections. I don't have taxes on it, so I take the money out and I have protection on the downside. I do have a cap on the top. If the market does 30% I won't get 30% on that one. But that's the, that's what I have to do if I want the downside protection. Then I have another annuity that's designed to give me income whenever I want it. I don't know when I'll take it. I may never take it. I may leave that money behind for children and grandchildren.

That's another taxpayer's account in the sense that it's growing tax-deferred and on that one when I do take income, approximately 80% of the income will not be taxed until I've recovered all my money. Now, that's a function of tax law. More complicated than we have time to go through explaining. But it provides a way to have income and the majority of it is not even taxed. And then I have a Roth IRA. I have an IRA, I converted it to a Roth. I finally bit the bullet myself and said Okay, I know got to pay tax on this thing, get it done.

The likelihood of me spending the money in that Roth is very slim. So that's another bucket of money, though, that if I want additional income, I have it. And you've heard me talk about this for almost seven years we've been working together, my view is real simple. Whatever I put my money in, here's what I expect. I think clients feel the same way. I want to protect my money. I don't wanna lose it. I don't want to pay somebody a fee to lose my money. I want growth on my money and I want income at some point. At least the income option.

And that's the way I look at my plan and that's what we look at for clients. Every client is different. Every client has a different mindset. And it's their money. Even if I don't agree with them on something I'll say I don't agree with you but as long as it's not illegal or unethical and get me fired or get me a fine from the securities regulators, I'll help you do it. But if I know it's hurting you, I refuse to do it. I just lost a situation where I could have done some business and could have made a nice commission.

I said no. I don't think it's appropriate destroying something that's already working for you. I refuse to do it. Go back to the other guy who gave you the advice to do that without knowing all of your information. And he said well, I'm not doing that. Well, I'm not doing it for you. And he allowed me to show him where all this fit and he kept it in place. He made a good decision there. But I think, and also savings, my savings accounts, I'm getting paid basically nothing on that at the bank.

And what little bit of interest I do earn, I get the installs or the 1099. I have to report that and pay tax on it this year. And then, of course, the non-retirement investment accounts. So that is what I've done from the standpoint of saving money over the years. And I have one regret, one. I wish I'd put even more money into life insurance. And I hear that so many times from other clients. Now I hear people say well, am I too old to get it? You know they may die of health issues. Well, that could be. And I will tell you right now that my life insurance policies are the most important investment I have.

Even though they're not technically investments, they are because I've used the cash values for the automobiles, office equipment over the years, used it for down payment and closing costs on a house when the market was down back in 1994. I'm thinking of a physician who called me one time in a panic. Hey, I need money and I got to have the fast. Banks are not loaning me money because it was highly leveraged. We were able to use this policy as collateral at the bank, they gave him what he needed. And I can tell you so many stories about that. I need to write a book on that. You know, I'm working on my second book. You know that, right?

April: I do.

John: There might be a third one. But anyway, those are the things that I've done, April. I hope that it helps people understand a little bit. And if you think it's appropriate, sometime in the future, we'll create another webinar and go deeper on that because that's interesting. But folks, the webinars we're doing are a result of what we're hearing from clients. And then April, she pushes me. Hey, let's do another webinar. Let's get another one. And we got two coming up that we're going to be talking about the economy. And I'm taking great, those are my ideas, all those, okay?

April: Yeah. You have credit for this.

John: But we're a good team here. And our focus is how do we create value. And I hope that everyone feels that they got value today and will take advantage of having a chat with us over the phone or come in if they want to meet face to face but start with a phone call. And, anything else you want to cover? I've covered pretty much what I want to cover.

April: That was good. John. I appreciate you covering that. I think it's very important. You know, I think what is, what I took away from that the most, right? Is having a strategy and having a plan. And we talk about this all the time with clients that it's not a product, right? It's not the widget, it's not the thing that you have. It's how does it all work together. And that's why it's so important to have a strategy and a plan in place and to look at all of these things, to look at taxes to look at retirement income. To talk about health care as well.

John: One quick thought there I just thought of. I enjoy playing chess with my grandson. And one day we were talking about the chess pieces and the chess that we had at the property was chips. And it made me just think just now about playing a game of chess. You could have old beat up chess pieces, I could have solid gold pieces. We have that same gameboard. Is the fact that matter is beautiful and pretty and yours are ugly, is that gonna make me perform better?

Not at all. It comes down to strategy. Who can see the moves ahead. So in the game of chess, the board has to be set up, certain rules to follow. It's the same thing with your financial planning. There are certain rules and regulations we have to follow because of tax laws, things like that. But if we understand those and we understand how the board works and the rules of the game, it doesn't matter if I have the prettiest pieces.

I could have the most ugly pieces on the planet, hell, you could break the head off of the knight and as long as we know that is the knight position, who cares? It's what you do with products. And hopefully, that came out loud and clear today that it's not about going out and that it's the best product. You could get products anywhere, it comes down to strategy first. And that's why we tell people plan first, then go look for products.

April: That's right. If you do the planning correct, then the product becomes very clear. But you gotta do the planning first. Well, everyone, we want to say thank you for taking time out of your schedule to join us today talking about tax diversification in retirement. I know that taxes are not always the funnest topic, but we try to keep it lively.

Again, if you're on the call, if you're listening to a replay, I would recommend that we schedule a time for a 25 to 30-minute phone appointment. And you can do that by reaching out to our office. The mainline for our office is 850-544-8464. So again, was going to say thank you for joining us and hope you guys have a great afternoon. Thanks, John.

John: Thank you. It was a pleasure.

Voiceover: If you'd like to know more about John Curry's services, you can request a complimentary information package by visiting johnhcurry.com/podcast. Again, that is johnhcurry.com/podcast. Or you can call us office at 850-562-3000. Again, that is 850-562-3000. John H Curry, chartered life underwriter, chartered financial consultant, accredited estate planner, masters in science and financial services, certified in long term care, registered representative and financial advisor at Park Avenue Securities LLC.

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5 Financial Risks in Retirement and How to Avoid Them

Retirement can come with an amount of financial uncertainty attached, even for people who have taken the time to plan. This week, John and April aim to alleviate some of the stress that comes along with retirement planning by discussing the five biggest financial risks in retirement and how best to avoid them. Together, they have over 50 years of combined experience in helping clients plan for retirement and use that practical knowledge to illuminate what works and doesn’t work during the planning process.

“It's really important to understand that there are a lot of pieces to the puzzle,” says John. “We see people who don't even know what some of the pieces are. Or, they know about them but think that if they don't think about it, if they don't dwell on it, it won't matter. It does matter, and it will sneak up on you.”

They speak in detail about:

  • The five risks: outliving your retirement income, sickness or injury, market volatility, taxation, and inflation

  • Why traditional planning doesn’t work for retirement

  • Key differences between saving for retirement and wealth distribution once you’re retired

  • Achieving an optimal cash flow balance during retirement

  • And more

Listen now…



Transcript

April Schoen: All right. Hello, everyone. Good afternoon. Thank you for joining us today. My name is April Schoen and I'm sitting across the table in sunny, is it sunny outside? Sunny Tallahassee with John Curry. John, say hello.

John Curry: Hello, April. Hello, everyone on the call. Thank you for joining us today.

April: Yeah, so John is the author of Preparing for a Secure Retirement. So I know everyone will be excited too as we go through today's presentation. I'm going to give everyone a few minutes to log in today before we kind of get down to everything, we'll give, we're going to give about one or two minutes to get everybody logged in because I know we were expecting about 45 to 50 people on the call and sometimes it takes a little bit to get in. 

So while we're waiting for everyone to kind of get logged in, let me first give you an overview of what we're going to be covering today. So we're going to be talking about the five financial risks that you will face in retirement. We're going to talk about why traditional planning doesn't work for retirement, what the key differences are between when you're working and you're saving for retirement and then wealth distribution, once you get to retirement. And then also, how do we have optimal balance in retirement, especially when it comes to cash flow. So we will, we're going to cover those today in our presentation. 

The five financial risks that we're going to be going through today are, we're going to be talking about what happens if you live too long? Because it was kind of a funny thing to me, John. Oh, darn, I lived too long, right? So but we're going to be talking about from a financial aspect, what that means for you. We're going to talk about what happens if you become sick or injured along the way in retirement. Market volatility, how will that impact your retirement. I mean, just look at March of 2020. 

No one really saw that coming. And some of the stress that I know a lot of our clients or people we've been meeting with here recently have felt because of it. Taxation, this is a hot button right now with taxation, thinking about not just taxation in retirement accounts but I don't know, John, if we'll get into it, talking a little bit about tax history and tax rates going up in the future and what that could mean. And then also, inflation. So we're going to get, we're going to talk about all of those risks today.

John: And all of these are very timely, especially when you have a presidential election coming. Because when you take a look at what's happened historically, and we'll be doing some webinars in October regarding this, by the way, about what's happened with the stock market, interest rates, things like that during presidential election periods. So I think that'll be important. And obviously, becoming sick or injured today with the virus. All of us are more concerned about that than ever. And it just heightens all this stuff,

April: Right. It does. It does. Okay, so well I do you want to go ahead and just make sure that you, those of you on the call, do have our contact information. Our presentation today should be somewhere between like 45 and 50 minutes. But just in case you need to get off the call early, I do want to make sure you have our contact information. And anyone on the call, we would recommend that you schedule a time for a 25 or 30-minute phone appointment. 

You can do that with anyone on our team. It could be with me, it could be with John, anyone on our team. And this would be your opportunity to talk about any goals and concerns that you may have about retirement planning. And of course, we can also share with you a little bit more about how we help clients when it comes to retirement planning, which you're going to hear a lot about today as well.

John: Absolutely. And I would encourage you to take advantage of that call because invariably, somebody will say, Well, I have nothing going on. We'll have a conversation and something does come up that they need help on and we're able to either help them ourselves or refer them to someone that can. 

April: That's right. That's right. Okay, well, let's get into today's presentation. The first thing that I want to do is just tell you a little bit about our firm. So North Florida Financial, we are headquartered in Tallahassee, but we have locations now from Jacksonville, all the way over to Louisiana, southern Georgia and then down to Tampa and Orlando as well. So, John's here in Tallahassee, I'm here today with him. 

We had some client meetings yesterday. We're doing this presentation today, but I currently live in Jacksonville, so we kind of cover a wide area. So John has been in financial services since 1975. He's been helping clients with retirement planning issues like social security, Medicare, required distributions, IRA rollovers, and inherited IRAs, Just a few things have changed, John, in the last, you know, few decades, right?

John: My grandson the other day reminded me of a phrase I'd forgotten about, no duh. Absolutely, a lot.

It’s Happened Before. It Will Happen Again

April: Yes. There are just a couple changes that you see. You know, and I know one of the webinars that we did, we got some really good feedback from because, John, you were talking about through your career, what you've seen when it comes to different pandemics. So I just, you know, I know we're not going to spend too much time on that today. But I just thought it'd be good for people to realize that, yes, obviously, we're in a global pandemic right now. But we've been through things, we've been through pandemics in the past, we're going to get through this one too, just fine.

John: We will. And I was not only lived through it, but what I refer to that will get a lot of feedback on was the flu pandemic in 1918. And what I did is I went through a history of that some of the things that have happened. First, my Rotary Club has been a given update on things, but I'm of the opinion, and I think most of us as Americans, we feel this way, yes, we have trials and tribulations, but we always rally together and get through it. 

I'm seeing more and more people wear face masks today than ever and being courteous and kinder, whereas just a few weeks ago, people were more in your face. So I was at Publix the other day buying some groceries and people were just very polite, you know, please go ahead. And you know, it was nice.

April: Oh, good. Yeah, I think you are seeing some more of that, just good. So, you know, even with every all the craziness going on in the world, we've survived things in the past and will continue to do so. So we're going to be just fine. 

John: And I have news for everyone who's listening, there will be other challenges we don't know about yet. So the key becomes planning for your personal finances, I like to call it your personal economy, is more important than worrying about what's happening around the world or in our country, state or city. 

Let's focus on your personal economy and make sure that you're in a position that you can pretty much weather any kind of storm. Later, we'll talk about some of the freedoms that I preach about all the time. But I think it's very important that we understand that if we take the time to get our act together, most everything else falls into place.

April: That's right. That's good. Well, good. And you know, I know, John, what we're gonna talk about today, too, are some of the lessons that we've learned about planning. So it, combined in our over 50 years of experience and helping clients especially when it comes to retirement planning, we're going to be able to kind of shed some light on that about what we've seen, what works and doesn't work.

John: Well, tell our audience a little bit about your background because this is not new to you. So share your background.

April: Yeah. So I, June, I celebrated a decade in financial services in June. So that was kind of a fun milestone for me. But I've been in financial services for a little over 10 years. I've been working with John here at North Florida Financial six and a half, almost seven years now. So Time flies when you're having fun. 

John: It does. 

April: And even with my career, I've primarily worked with, I kind of think of two ends of a spectrum, but really primarily who I've worked with are those people that are getting ready to retire. I always say maybe they're like 1 to 3 years from retirement and working with you and with my previous firm, I've really worked a lot with members of the Florida Retirement System and helping them get ready for retirement. 

So, you know, they've got questions about their pension. They'll also have questions about social security and Medicare, like we talked about earlier. Maybe they've got questions about what to do with their drop accounts or deferred comp. So, you know, as you know, John, our work together, helping them kind of put all those pieces together to figure out what's retirement gonna look like.

John: There's a lot of moving parts. You got to find a way to make them all integrated and work together.

April: That's right. That's a fun part to me. I really think of it as like a puzzle. So it's like all these little pieces that I got to figure out how to get it just right. You know, thinking about those clients who we were meeting with yesterday who are retiring in January and February. And every situation is unique. That's one thing I love about what we do is there is no, no two plans are exactly identical, even if they do have some similarities. 

You know, so for them, they're going to be 61 and 62 so they've got a couple challenges, right? They've got to figure out how to bridge the gap for health care until they're 65. They've got to decide when they're going to take social security. They've got to figure out if their pensions and their social security will be enough income, and if not, how do they structure some of that

John: And they are very likely to live 30 to 35 years in retirement. So they have major challenges and the fact that they're retiring so young, those challenges will be amplified because if you have inflation or taxation is going to impact over time. And I know we'll get into some of that in a few minutes, but it's really important to understand that there are a lot of pieces to the puzzle. And we see people who, they don't even know what some of the pieces are, or they know about them but they just, if I don't think about it, if I don't dwell on it, it won't matter. It does matter and it will sneak up on you.

April: That's right. Well good. Well, let's get into some information today. So as I mentioned earlier, what we've really kind of learned in working with clients over the last 50 years is what works and doesn't work for people, especially when it comes to retirement planning. So we first want to just kind of walk through an example with you. So by far, the most common approach that we see to retirement planning is something called the safe withdrawal plan. 

You may hear it referred to as a 4% roll or the 3% roll. And the idea behind this approach is that you invest your entire portfolio in a mixture of stocks, bonds, mutual funds, and you begin to take fixed consistent withdrawals from this bucket of money that is variable and inconsistent. So let me kind of repeat that. We're going to take fixed consistent withdrawals from a bucket that is variable and inconsistent. 

So right off the bat, we can see there are some problems here. I mean, that account is going to fluctuate on a daily basis. And so that alone brings with it some uncertainty and unrest. And if you, you know, you do like John and I do where we start studying like a sequence of return risk and how that will impact your retirement income you can see that can cause some issues. So we're going to talk about that a little bit more later, too. 

John: But everything's perfect as long as the market does great. It's only when you have 2000, 2001, 2002, where you lose double-digits or 2008, where you lose 38%, in the s&p 500, that all of a sudden these things become important. 

April: Or 2020, when the market drops 30, 35% in 23 days. No one panicked I'm sure, right?  Everyone stayed the course. So perfect additions, right? But you're right, it works in perfect conditions sometimes. But there's some other issues with this plan too. Not only just Is it the uncertainty, it's not always the most efficient, either. 

It requires the most amount of capital, most amount of money to give you less income. It creates more taxes for you, right? Because you're taking this interest only strategy, essentially. And then depending on how its invested anyway, you're going to have taxes if it's mostly retirement accounts. But a lot of taxation, the risk, there's more risk because it's always invested, it has to always be invested so there's always this presence of risk. 

And one issue that we're seeing right now is low-interest rates. We're in a low-interest rate environment, which, you know, can be good if you're trying to buy a house. Not so great when you're in retirement and you have assets that maybe you don't want to be in the market but how do you still get a good rate of return, right? So we find that people tend to be more riskier than they normally would be because they're trying to have their assets continue to grow for them.

John: Or in some cases, they're trying to play catch up. 

April: Yes, we see that too. 

John: Because they're behind.

April: Right. With this plan, you can also lose liquidity because if we have this entire bucket we're trying to draw income from, it really kind of locks it up in prison. You now can't take any other money from the account outside what you need for income because that's just going to lower the amount that you could take later. And we hear a lot of times from people too, this, what if. They're afraid to take money from their retirement accounts because what if I need it later. There's always this kind of what if thought process. 

So we got to have ways to kind of work through that. So we've really seen that that approach can leave a lot to be desired for our clients. And the main issue with that approach is that it just fails to acknowledge that there is a difference between saving money, saving wealth and distributing it. You know, we see where clients or even other advisors, when someone gets to retirement age, they treat it the exact same way that they did when someone was saving money. 

And it is a completely different, these are two totally different goals at the end of the day. You go from Okay, I'm saving money, I'm taking income that I make and I'm turning that into net worth. And then I go into retirement and I start taking that net worth that I now have earned that I have on my balance sheet and start turning it into income. 

So two totally different goals at the end of the day. So let's take a look at some examples here and kind of get into these risks around retirement. So John and I like using the example of climbing up a mountain. So let's just say about this for a minute, if we were planning to climb up and down a mountain, we really think of this as not unlike the typical person who is saving for retirement, right? On the way up the mountain our working years. And our job is to turn income into net worth so we're saving onto our balance sheet.

John: In 2000, I had the privilege of going to the Boy Scout Camp in New Mexico with a group of Boy Scouts. And getting prepared for that, because we were going to be hiking in the mountains up and down for 12 days, 85 miles, the guy who was working with me, so we need to make sure that we work on muscles you'd never think about because the biggest risk is coming down the mountain, not going up. 

Coming down the mountain because you're off balance, you've got a backpack that weighs 50 to 60 pounds on your back, you're coming down the hill, many more accidents, and in serious mountain climbing, more deaths occur on the descent than the ascent. So that is stuck in my mind when it comes to retirement planning or financial planning in general, is one thing we're about to get into what happens with the accumulation, but when you get to the peak, that's nice. 

You can enjoy the view, but now, you got to come down that thing. And I've had the pleasure of doing this for 45 years now. So I've seen a lot of plans that the majority of people had no clue what it looked like when they got to the top because they had no way of doing a rehearsal like we do for people to demonstrate that. So this is going to be very interesting doing a little counterpoint for the two of us because of our age differences. You want to reveal to them your age. I will, I'm 67. I'll be 68 in December.

April: No, I don't mind. So yeah, I'm 36. So I'm 36, I'm married, and I have two small boys that are four and seven years old. So, John, I talk about this a lot in our seminars, that, you know, we're in different places. Again, I'm married, I have small children. So the goals, the risk, those concerns that I have at this stage in my life are different from John who's 67. And closer to retirement.  Maybe Oh, I'd work.

John: Correct. I'll have to wipe that little smirk off your face there. Closer to retirement.

April: Yeah, I always give John a hard time because, you know, he's not retired and doesn't plan to retire anytime soon. Although, you know, I did he retired last year for your birthday weekend. 

John: That was very gracious of you.

April: So you had a nice long, like, I don't know, was it three or four days of a retirement weekend?

John: That's right. Friday, Saturday, Sunday and Monday.

April: And Monday, I think it was, I think I gave you for four days this year. Maybe if you're good this year, you'll have five days for your retirement birthday weekend.

John: I'll remember that.

Risks are the Same. How They Affect Individuals is Different

April: Yeah, so we like to talk about the different risks. So when, really what we find is when we're in our working years and saving money, the risk that we face are different, well, they're, the risk is the same, but how they affect us is different. So just like we were climbing up the mountain and going down the mountain, we like to use the example of gravity, right? Gravity is always there. It's always present. But it impacts us differently and we react to it differently when we're climbing up the mountain and we're going down the mountain. 

And the same thing is true for these risks that we were, these five retirement risks that we're going to talk about today. The truth is, if you're still working, you face these risks today in your working years, but again, they are just, they affect you differently. So the first risk that we're going to talk about is mortality. And this is the risk of death. So while we're working on the, again, for me, for an example, the concern that I have, that I've taken off the table, but the concern is if what if something happens to me tomorrow? what if I die? What happens to my kids, my husband? 

I want to make sure that they're taken care of financially. And I've done the planning that I need to do to make sure that that's happened, that I've taken that risk off the table for my family. But, you know, John, for you or for someone who's in retirement years, that risk is, it's almost 180-degree shift. It's not that I'm worried about dying too soon, it's I'm worried about living too long.

John: Well, let's be clear about something. No matter when I die, it's too soon. Okay, let's get clear on that one first. But you're correct. And also, what I've discovered, and I learned this before I got to be 66 or 67 by working with other clients over the years, even in my 20s and 30s who were in their 60s 70s 80s and 90s, but I realized early on that doing the things necessary to take care of dying too soon in my life insurance is now in my mind, the most important financial asset I have because the cash values of my life insurance are allowing me to help solve this problem of living too long. 

So if I find that I, that my pension checks, my social security, my investments are not enough, because inflation comes roaring back like I did in the early 80s, then I can use some of the cash on my policies if I need to, to supplement my retirement. So with proper planning, the things you do today at 36 will actually help you big time, 30 years later, when you're 66, or 67.

April: Right, exactly. The next risk that we want to talk about is what happens if you get sick or injured along the way? When we're working, in our working years, what's at stake or what could be lost is our income our paycheck. So again, if something happens to me tomorrow, and I can't get up and go to work, there' an economic loss to my family. And so I've you know, again, from a planning standpoint, taking care of that, that's something we talk about with our clients to make sure that they're not going to have that issue. 

John: And think about it. In today's environment with the virus, we're finding that it's getting more and more difficult to get both the life insurance and disability income policies approved, is taking much longer, because more and more people are concerned about getting it. So while these are risks that can be addressed, you can't just snap your fingers and say, Oh, I'm going to solve the problem. It does take time and effort. And you're not the only one who makes the decisions, the insurance companies get to make decisions. 

And for me, at my age, I'm not so worried about loss of income if I am sick, I'm more concerned about the care that's required. So you start thinking in terms of Okay, what if I live to be 100 years old like I tell everybody, I'm going to do? What if I, the quality of my life is not so good? What if I have to go into a nursing home or in-home care? So that's where, if I have an illness or injury in retirement, I may end up depleting assets that I did not want to deplete. But that's also where my life insurance is important because if I do deplete retirement assets, the life insurance comes in after that to replace it for my family.

April: Right. And that's part of our overall planning that we walk through with every client, doesn't matter their age. But we talk about what happens if you become sick or injured. And so making sure that they've done proper planning to take care of that. You know, I know when we're working with people who are closer to retirement and we talk about long term care, just health care planning, in general, like you mentioned, if you need care, just making sure that they have a plan for that. 

Yeah, good. More of the risks, and we've kind of talked about this earlier, but it's market volatility. I mean, volatility is always present. Look at 2020, for example, sometimes I feel like you kind of get whiplash or trying to pay attention and keep up with what's going on in the market. And so we're always going to experience some of these ups and downs. 

And while we're in our working years, volatility can actually be our friend. If managed properly, if managed in the right way, it can actually help us achieve a greater rate of return over time. Again, especially if someone is younger and has a longer time horizon before retirement. But the same economic force in retirement can be a threat to our stability, our security, is that sequence of return risk that I mentioned earlier, which is the order in which we have returns, that can be the thing that can cause us to actually run out of money, especially when you're taking money out of retirement accounts.

Market Volatility Can be Your Friend… Fear Cannot

John: And especially in a down market. I look back to clients that we have been working with that even after 2008, they still had panicked, moved money over to money market funds or CDs. They missed a huge bull market because they were fearful of being in the market. So that's an example of where the volatility at they stayed, it would have been their friend, but it made money. 

But because they panicked and got out of the game, sat on the bench, if you will, to use that metaphor, football game, for example. They're not on the playing field. So they're taking the break. But sadly, during the break, it was when the money was being made, right? They were not there to participate. So then they get frustrated even more, and say oh my god. I talked to a woman last Wednesday and Thursday, she says, no matter what I put money in it goes bad. So then quit doing it yourself. 

Let the professionals help you, at least with some of your money, and if you want to play with some of it, play with it. But it comes down to really one word, fear. Fear is fear. And fear I was taught at a very young age stands for false evidence appearing real or false education appearing real. So we see all this stuff happening and many times we read into it and it's not quite what we think.

April: Right. Well, I think what's important too, especially for those on the call that may be getting closer to retirement, when it comes to how they have their investments, their retirement accounts positioned, they, it's imperative that they are positioned in a way to help them weather the storms, no matter what happens. 

Whether we have good times in the market, like we saw from 2009 to the beginning of 2020. Or especially, it's more important to make sure that they are positioned in a way to weather any downturns in the market. So just like you mentioned, that they don't have to have a knee jerk reaction to move everything over to cash or something like that.

John: Correct. I know you'll get into it later but liquidity is extremely important there. In the world I live in now, just today, I wrote a check, put it in an account where I know that if the market is down, I have a certain amount of downside protection. And I also have some guarantees as relates to protecting my money with my accounts. I like that. I will settle for less yield in order to protect the downside because study after study after study has proven that the downside is where you're gonna get in trouble. I'd much rather have a little bit lower gains or potential gains because you can't promise the gain, but I want to protect the downside.

April: Right, right. And, you know, the clients we were meeting with yesterday, they said that essentially the same thing that they, at this point in their lives, they don't want to lose what they've worked so hard to build. And I get it. I understand it. I mean, you know, I can understand you're getting close to retirement. 

John: Let me ask you this. You're 36 years old. Would you like to lose 38% of your money in one fell swoop? 

April: No, no, I don't either. 

John: So I don't think this an age issue. I think it's a mindset. It's not, actually everybody is aggressive until they have lost and all of a sudden, oh, my God, what did I do? But if you build your plan properly, where you have liquid assets and you protected the people you care about, then the money you put in there, you can pretty much set and forget. Let me just say something, most days, and you know this about me, I don't care about investments as much as April does. I understand investments. I've been securities licensed since 1980, I can do pretty much any type of investment. 

But I tell people, I do not want your money if you're the kind of person that's going to constantly be worried about it every day. I don't look at mine every day, I don't even look at it every week. And, you know what, I don't worry about if things work out. But it's because we take the time up front to make sure every piece is covered. Now the client has veto power, they can say I don't want to deal with that. But we look at all these risks and take this into account. 

April: Right. Good. And that's so critical. The planning is critical. To have a plan in place, and then you don't have to worry about it as much. The next thing that we want to talk about is taxation. So when we're, again, in our working years, putting money in tax-deferred vehicles like a 401k, an IRA, maybe you've got deferred comp or a 403B, that can feel like the best place to put $1 because, you know what are we always told? We're going to defer these taxes, you're not gonna have to pay taxes today. The issue though, is when you get to retirement, and now that account's grown and every dollar that comes out of it is 100% taxable.

John: And the fact that I was told that when you retire, John, 65 years old, you'll be in a lower tax bracket. Well, I got a newsflash for you, very few people we work with are in a lower tax bracket. They're not because by the time they get to social security, they get their pension or the 401k, the IRA, in these savings or investments, they take income, guess what? They're in about the same tax bracket? 

April: Mm-hmm. Right. So taxation is definitely something we have to pay attention to. And it's something that you have to, there are things that you can do along the way to put yourself in a better position, especially when it comes to retirement. I'll give an example. Some clients we're working with that almost all of their assets are in retirement accounts and they're about to retire. So for them, we don't have as much diversification to work with from a tax planning standpoint because all of their assets are in retirement accounts. 

It limits what they're able to do. So if you can start building other, some diversification in your assets, especially when it comes to tax planning, it gives you more options. It gives you flexibility. And I know in our next webinar that we're going to have two weeks from today, we're going to be talking about that, about tax diversification in retirement. Especially today. I don't know about you, and actually, John, I do know how your feelings on this but it's hard to imagine the tax rates will not go up from where they currently are.

John: How can they not go up? We're spending, before the pandemic, we were spending money and like drunken sailors on both sides of the house, I'm gonna be fair pick on both Democrats and Republicans, they have forgotten whose money it is up there. And here in our legislature, so there's no way that a reasonable person who understands money at all can tell me that the tax rates won't go back up, no matter who is elected. You can elect Mickey Mouse and Micky's gonna raise the tax rates. He's gonna have to.

April: Right. And so we have to do things today to prepare for that. The next thing that we want to talk about is inflation. So inflation really compounds all the risks that we've talked about so far. So if we're talking about dying too soon or living too long, if we're talking about becoming sick or injured, market volatility, and also taxation, inflation compounds all of those issues.

John: You know what inflation is to me? It's a silent thief. So you get your paycheck and you see money taken out for taxes, for income taxes, and social security and medicare that's screaming at you. Inflation is so quiet, it just sneaks up on it goes boom, got you. And you go, Where'd that come from? All of a sudden, you go to the grocery store and it costs you more. And most people tell us that at about seven years in retirement is when they feel it. 

That's when they see it. Because if they have a cost of living adjustment, maybe it's enough, maybe it's not enough, all of a sudden, it's not enough. And I lived through this. I don't think you were around when we had inflation as high as it was 16, 17%. It's coming back. It was never that high again. But it will, we have economic cycles. And people who understand that they take advantage of that. People who don't understand it, they can't.

April: Right. Okay, John, so what we want to do, we talked a little bit about these for us. So let's talk about kind of our planning and how we help people and how it's a little different maybe than some traditional planning. But one of the things that we do, we begin with in our planning is helping people manage those risks, the risks that we just talked about, because we really find that its clients' inability to deal with those risks is what causes issues and problems for them in retirement. It's not always, oh, my account didn't do so great, or rate of return on with an IRA, it's those risks that, again, sneak up on you and cause issues and problems. 

So we want to make sure that we first manage those risks and try to take them off the table. Those ones that are kind of broad and economic in nature, like market volatility, for example, that impacts all of us. And then also those risks that are more personal, like your personal economy, if you live too long, die too soon, becoming sick or injured. So we've got to cover both ends of the spectrum in that regard. We then want to talk about cash flow allocation.

John: I love that word. Cash flow. Doesn't that sound good? Instead of a budget or restricted, cash flow.

April: Mm-hmm. And, you know, it's different too, because instead of talking about asset allocation, how your assets position, we first want to talk about your cash flow allocation. How are your, how's your cash flow allocated, especially when it comes to retirement? So in the planning, we do working with people and showing them like that retirement rehearsal and pulling together all their retirement income streams and showing them what that looks like, that's part of it. Balancing What does it look like from a cash flow standpoint. 

We also want to make sure that we have liquidity, free liquidity. And we define free liquidity as an asset on your balance sheet that's not required to provide you income. Because if it's required to provide you income, it's not really liquid. It's, again, locked up and kind of that income prison. But we want you to have liquidity on your balance sheet, money you get your hands on if you want it or you need it. 

Sometimes I feel like clients probably get tired of us talking about liquidity so much but it's that important in your overall plan. Both while you're working and retired. And then we also want to make sure that we minimize taxes. And so we talk about how do we strategically do that. How do we do that not just this year in 2020, for example, but how do we do that on an ongoing basis? So we want to talk about different ways that we can minimize taxes along the way.

Every Tax Dollar That You Save...

John: Let's talk about that for just a moment from a different perspective. Every dollar that you can save in taxes is very powerful because that's money, it was lost money anyway. You were giving it away. It was gone. So if we can save you $1,000 or $5,000 in taxes, that's powerful money. You can do the taking go blow it, you know, go give it to kids or my case grandkids are great-grandkids, or you can save it for yourself. 

But that is money that you have recaptured that you not only lost that money, you'd lost the earnings on it. We call that opportunity cost. So you didn't lose just a dollar, you lost the dollar plus all the earnings on it for the rest of your life. And you start looking at the numbers as big. That's why folks will pay so much in taxes. Now, April and I are not tax attorneys, we're not CPAs. Don't want to be. But we can look at things and say, whoa, wait a minute, what if we reposition this? What's the difference in taxes? And that's why the taxation part is so important.

April: Right I agree. Okay, so what we do in our planning, we talk about having like an optimal structure when it comes to retirement planning. So we first start with that free liquidity, making sure that you've got money on your balance sheet, like I said, before, that you can get your hands on if you want it or you need it. That's for threats and opportunities that may come your way. So we first kind of start there with making sure that you have that free liquidity. 

From there, we want to talk about what sources of guaranteed income do you have? Do you have a pension? Do you have social security? If you do have those two things, is it enough to cover your basic living expenses in retirement? If it's not, do we need to create some more guaranteed sources of income for you to cover and to cover those basic living expenses? 

From there, we also talk about having different, a bucket of assets that maybe is for discretionary income. Maybe you want to have, you know, an asset that's invested in a certain way that you can take income for it, from it to take a trip, or do renovations at the house, again, think something that's discretionary. And then also, maybe you've got a bucket that's going to be for growth. 

So you don't need income from it now, but maybe you want that bucket to be for legacy purposes, or you want it to be there to grow for you to be able to have increasing income in the future. So it's important that we have balance between all of this. You gotta make sure you have liquidity, that you have guaranteed income to cover living expenses, that you have a bucket that's got variable income if you need it, and then also have income to grow for the future. 

John: And I would add that the variable income and growth allows you to spend money guilt-free. Whatever is in there, you can spend it and enjoy it. It's not, ah, if I spend this I've taken money away that I want to leave to my children and grandchildren. No, you didn't. This is money that's theirs, flexible, use it for yourself, if you don't need it, pass it along if you want to, or give it to your church or charity. 

April: Like the clients we were talking with yesterday, they're going to be 61 and 62. That's, it's critical for them to have a structure, right? To have the liquidity, they need the guarantee they're gonna have a pension, social security, but having income to cover their living expenses. Again, as you mentioned, they're retiring very young. And so they've got to have this bucket that's going to grow for them for the future to cover some of those risks we talked about, like inflation.

John: It's important. Very, very important.

April: So in our planning, when we work with clients, we really do have a series of conversations. First, we start off by having a conversation about philosophy. What's our philosophy around money, what's a client's philosophy around money, to kind of get a feeling of their money story. And then we take a look at some high-level data where someone today will have two distinct conversations. One of them is around protection and making sure that their balance sheet is protected from those risks we talked about. 

And then we also have a cash flow discussion. This is going to be that cash flow allocation to make sure that we have the income that they need in retirement to live the retirement that they want to live. And then from there, we also talk about, we may make some recommendations and they get to decide if they want to implement any changes that we recommend and to what degree. And I think it's also important through this process is to have a conversation about what are some things that they could do today to put them in a better position?

John: Correct. And I like to remind people, this is your money. It's not our money. Our job is to help you make better decisions. But first with identify what you've got, what's working and what needs work. And then it's up to you. But in the final analysis, the client has to take action. If you need a new will because you have an outdated will or you don't have a will at all, at some point, you've got to take action to get that done if you want the end result to be positive. If you're not saving enough money for your retirement, then you've got to take action. 

Now if you don't have proper insurance plans in place, you have to take action if you want that protection. So we're more like coaches, April, than sales reps. Here's what we see, here's what needs to be done. What would you like to do? And, you know, sometimes people don't take action and that's their plan. That's their right. We don't get much of that.

April: No, we don't. So, John, I want to switch gears now. I know we've got about 10 minutes left for our webinar today. So I wanted to switch gears and kind of talk through some of those vision questions that we sometimes go through with clients in talking about what their retirement gonna look like. So let me pull back up this. 

So when we're talking with clients about their retirement vision, what is their retirement going to look like, we talk about relationships, housing, lifestyle, health and financial, because it's when you're, when it comes to retirement planning, it's not all just numbers. It's not all just how much money do you have in an IRA and numbers on a piece of paper. It's what do you want your retirement to look like and be like? John, I know, you'll talk about your different freedoms, especially when it comes to retirement. Do you wanna take a few minutes and talk about that?

The Four Freedoms

John: I can do it real quick. There are four. Relationship freedom, other words, who are the people I want in my world, time, freedom, money, freedom, and location freedom. You and I were talking earlier about a trip I'm taking. At the same time, there might be one if not two webinars that we'll be doing. 

So I have the ability as long as I have my computer and access to the internet, I have location freedom. You and I've been working with clients for a long time over the telephone and computer well before the pandemic came along. So you're in Jacksonville, I'm here. Sometimes we have clients in another state or city or even down the street. And we're using the computer. So that's location freedom, that gives me the ability that if I want to get somewhere I can. 

And I find that most people don't give enough thought to that. The most important relationships, what are you doing to nurture those relationships and enjoy them while you can. I'm 67 and I've had open-heart surgery, specifically a triple bypass in 2008. So that got me thinking about a lot of things in my world. I discovered I realized while walking with my two-year-old grandson one day after my surgery, that I was spending more time with total strangers helping them and not nurturing the relationships that were most important. 

And pretty much everybody who's listened to this will find that they're out of balance a lot. You work like hell pleasing other people at work or your church, social activities, and then you realize, ooh, all that's important but what about the people that are really important? So that's why I put relationships is number one. You can have all the money in the world but if that's not working, then you have a problem.

April: That's right. Well, talk about relationships a little bit. You just hit that. So we talk about with clients is, you know, who are the people that are important your life? Who do you want to spend time with in retirement? Is it kids? Is it grandkids? Do you still have, you know, or do you have aging parents that you're going to have to care for? This all is involved in those relationships.

John: And you may not know the answer. So in my case, our son had an auto accident 2012. Well, I found myself having to take care of him, also an aging mother that I had to help. So all of a sudden, it put some financial pressure. Fortunately, I had saved and invested some money and was able to deal with that. But what if I hadn't? What if I had not accumulated the asset? All of a sudden, my retirement could be in jeopardy if I wanted to retire.

April: They call that the sandwich generation where you are having to care for parents and children at the same time and whatever that looks like.

John: I was fortunate that my mom did not have to move in with us but I was financially supporting her and helping our son and grandson. Yeah. Been there done that.

April: So we, so, again, those are things that may change along the way but it is important as you're stepping into retirement just what do you know today and how can you work around that? Housing, will you stay in your current home? Do you plan to age in place? Do you plan to move to a different city? Do you plan to downsize? Housing is always a concern, like the couple we were meeting with yesterday, they most likely will not stay in their home here in Tallahassee. 

They plan to move to be closer to, they're about to have their first grandson, so that's the driving factor for them to move to another city. And talking with them, they don't know what they're going to do. You know, will they rent in the New City? Will they buy? There's a little bit of some conversations going on back and forth on that.

John: That's a nice word. Conversation versus debate.

April: Those are things that you need to think about comes to retirement. Lifestyle, what are the things that you've always wanted to do? Are there, is, did you want to do some consulting when you're in retirement? Are there organizations that you want to volunteer? 

John: Did you say insulting? 

April: No, that's funny. And so, you know, we talk to clients all the time, they're like, No, we've got a client who plays pickleball. I don't even know what times a day she, how many times a week.

John: And by the way, let people know that there is a podcast where I interview people here

April: Yes, four or five days a week, she plays pickleball. You know, we've got clients who golf several days a week. So just what are the things that you want to do? And I love that question about, what are you going to do with every day is a Saturday? So when you're retired, you know, you're not working Monday through Friday anymore so every day is going to feel like the weekend. So what are you going to do during this time? We have a client who I called this a couple years ago now, I called him to schedule time for him to come in for a review meeting. 

And I just want you to picture this. So he's 90 years old, and I call him to see about scheduling a time for a review meeting. And he goes, April, I have got to give up some of my social commitments. I just don't have anything available in the next three to four weeks on my calendar. And I laughed, and I just love that idea that here he is, at 90 years old still living the life that he wants and has too many social commitments.

John: I spoke with him two weeks ago and he's still that way. 

April: I think he will always be that way.

John: What, and how old is he? Isn't he 93, 94 now? 

April: He's gotta be Yeah, cuz that was several years ago when we had that conversation.

John: Great guy. That's the beauty of our businesses is that we get to develop relationships with people. Yes, we're doing business, but they're more like part of our business family. 

April: Mm-hmm. That's right. I love it. Health care, we spend a lot of time helping clients with health care, mainly because it's a major concern for them. What is health care going to look like in retirement? Sometimes there's some uncertainty there, too. But really, we just want to talk about what are the known healthcare concerns that we have now? Talking about your current health, how much do you currently spend on health care, what's that going to look like when you get into retirement?

John: I think it's important for people to know that when it comes to the retirement side, you said not just about money earlier, it's also understanding not only social security, but where does Medicare work. There are some negatives with Medicare when it comes to cost of Medicare, if you own too much money in retirement. These are all things that we take a look at in the planning process.

April: Right. Very important. And then, of course, there's financials. There is definitely a financial piece when it comes to retirement. So we walk through this with clients on what's your current income? What will your income be in retirement? Having a spending plan for retirement. We don't really like the term budget, I think it has a little bit of some negative connotation, but we do talk about having a spending plan for retirement so that you're intentional about it. So we want to make sure that we go through that with you as well. So just kind of some things to be thinking about there. 

John: I have a comment there. Every time I go to a funeral every time, and I started this in my early 20s because of the friends thing, I don't see one. And what I do now I'll look, I don't see a trailer hitch on the hearse. I've never seen them put a Uhaul trailer behind a hearse, and take all of your money, all the jewelry, all of your belongings to the cemetery with you. it doesn't happen. So here's the question, and you referred to a little bit earlier about the what if. 

I'm not going to spend this money because what if I need this? What if? What if? What if? So if you don't have a spending plan, you're going to be reluctant to enjoy the lifestyle you should have in retirement. And you may find that you're giving up things that you could enjoy today with a proper spending plan. It's usually because people have not done a good job of creating the guaranteed income streams you talked about earlier. 

They don't have the true free liquidity. So they are locked into a plan where they can't spend and enjoy the money. To me, that's sad. I'm thinking of people that we've worked with for years that have over a million dollars in retirement accounts and they're afraid to spend $1. What kind of plan is that? Enjoy the money. Don't waste it, don't be frivolous, but design your plan where the assets are taking care of you. 

April: Right. It's all comes down to planning at the end of the day, right?  Good. So, first I want to just say thank you for everyone for joining us on the call today. I know we kind of touched on a couple different, we went through a lot of information, mostly centered those five retirement risks that you'll face in retirement. In two weeks, we're going to have our webinar on tax diversification in retirement. So we're going to go more into like tax history and kind of talk about the impact of taxation. 

I would encourage you, if you're on the call, to schedule a time for a phone appointment, again, with someone on the team. Like I said earlier, this would be a 25 to 30-minute phone appointment. You could do that with John, with myself, with anyone on our team. And this would be your time to discuss any goals, any concerns you have when it comes to retirement planning. And then we'll share with you a little bit more about how we help clients when it comes to retirement planning and then we'll see if there is a fit and if it makes sense to work together. 

John: Makes sense to me. 

April: Got any closing remarks?

John: No, just one thing I would say is take some time, reflect on what you've heard today. And if we can help you, let us know. And I would encourage you to take advantage of the phone call because every time I've been on one something pops up that people didn't think about.

April: That's right. Good. Well, thank you so much for your time. We really appreciate it and we'll talk to you guys soon.

John: Goodbye, everyone.

Voiceover: If you'd like to know more about John Curry's services, you can request a complimentary information package by visiting johnhcurry.com/podcast. Again, that is johnhcurry.com/podcast. Or you can call his office at 850-562-3000. Again, that is 850-562-3000. 

John H Curry, chartered life underwriter, chartered financial consultant, accredited estate planner, masters in science of financial services, certified in long-term care, registered representative and financial advisor at Park Avenue Securities LLC. Securities products and services and advisory services are offered through Park Avenue Securities, a registered broker-dealer and investment advisor. Park Avenue Securities is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Guardian. 

North Florida Financial Corporation is not an affiliate or subsidiary of Park Avenue Securities. Park Avenue Securities is a member of FINRA and SIPC. This material is intended for general public use. By providing this material, we are not undertaking to provide investment advice for any specific individual or situation or to otherwise act in a fiduciary capacity. Please contact one of our financial professionals for guidance and information specific to your individual situation. All investments contain risk and may lose value. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. 

Guardian and subsidiaries, agents or employees do not provide legal tax or accounting advice. Please consult with your attorney, accountant and or tax advisor for advice concerning your particular circumstances. Not affiliated with the Florida Retirement System. The Living Balance Sheet and the Living Balance Sheet logo are registered service marks of The Guardian Life Insurance Company of America, New York, New York, copyright 2005-2020. This podcast is for informational purposes only. Guest speakers and their firms are not affiliated with or endorsed by Park Avenue Securities or Guardian and opinions stated are their own.

2020-108017 Expires 9/2022

Bill Landing | Coronavirus — Facts and Fiction

On this week’s episode of the Secure Retirement Podcast, we speak with my good friend, Bill Landing, a retired professor from Florida State University who is currently studying environmental chemistry and chemical oceanography. Bill has over 50 years of experience as a scientist and joins us to talk about the facts and fictions surrounding the pandemic.

“The training that you get to be a scientist gives you qualities like skepticism. You look at data and interpretations of data, you look for alternatives, you look for possibilities, testing hypotheses all the time, coming up with explanations for the things that you observe, always considering alternative explanations. Ultimately, I think what drew me to science in the first place is that there are truths. There are things that are, in fact, knowable, that are real truths. That's probably why I was drawn to it in the first place,” says Bill.

We chat about the virus and confirmation bias, as well as:

  • The accuracy of numbers derived from testing

  • What other countries have done to successfully slow the virus’ spread that the US has not done

  • Comparing mandatory mask-wearing to banning indoor smoking in public places

  • What world leaders could be doing to help life return to normal

  • And more

Listen now…



Transcript

John Curry: Hi folks, this is John Curry Welcome to another episode of the Secure Retirement Podcast. I'm excited about today's topic and the title is Coronavirus, facts and fiction. Today I will be having a conversation with my good friend, Bill Landing. Bill, say hello and tell people a bit about who you are. 

Bill Landing: Hi, John. Good morning. I'm a retired professor from Florida State University. I've been living in Tallahassee for 35 years. And well, I enjoyed, I had a great career. Still not over yet. But I'm studying environmental chemistry and chemical oceanography all over the world. 

John: And you have had a fascinating career and yes, you won't be done until the day that you take your last breath, I suspect. Bill this topic, Coronavirus has become a very, very serious topic, as we all know, because of the number of people that are getting sick and dying, but also it is really challenging our system in lots of ways. It's become very divisive. You see friends arguing over it, family members arguing over it. So I'm happy with the topic you have here, facts and fiction. 

And we'll get to that in a moment. You know, some people will be asking, okay, who is Bill Landing? What makes him qualified to talk about this? So would you just take a few minutes and share with our listeners what you've told me? And folks, the reason this is happening is because of the conversation I had with Bill last week. I was fascinated by his breadth of knowledge and it's clear to me, Bill, you've done a lot of homework and research on this. But please, just tell us why we should listen to you and why you're qualified to talk about this.

Bill: Sure. Well, first off, I would say I'm not trained as a medical doctor. I'm not a virologist or an epidemiologist. And in fact, the people that really need to be listened to are the experts who have those credentials like Dr. Fauci and Dr. Burks. The people that are advising the Coronavirus Task Force. What I do have is training as a scientist. I've been a scientist for, you know, 50 years studying chemistry, studying science mathematics. 

And, you know, the training that you get to be a scientist gives you qualities like, you know, skepticism. You look at data, you look at interpretations of data, you look for alternatives, you look for possible, you know, testing hypotheses all the time coming up with, you know, explanations for the things that you observe. And also, always considering alternative explanations. That there's, but ultimately there is, I think what drew me to science in the first place, is that there are truths. There are things that are, in fact knowable, that are real truths. and that's probably why I was drawn to it in the first place.

John: Very good. And what I'm gonna do in a minute, folks, I'm going to ask Bill some questions and then let him expand on it. But, Bill, I got one more thing I want you to explain because we had this conversation also, the concept of confirmation bias. Some people will know exactly what we're talking about. Others may not be familiar or may have forgotten it. Would you share with our audience what you were sharing with me earlier? 

Bill: Yeah. It's a problem that, you know, everyone has some degree of this what we call confirmation bias. And that is that you tend to believe or accept things that support either your preconceived notions or things that you already believe. And so you look for support for the things that you believe might be true. And that the danger there is that you're not being, you're not exposing yourself to alternative possibilities or alternative explanations for what's happening in your life or the things that you're observing. 

So that is something we always have to be aware of. You have to be skeptical. You have to, you know, do fact-checking and you can't just accept blindly what anyone says about anything really, unless they have the credential. Even though, you know, credentialed scientists, you'll see plenty of scientists who make mistakes. So you have to be skeptical and you have to be willing to consider alternative points of view. 

John: The way I like to explain it is this, and I'll use myself as an example. I have friends who will talk about what news media they're consuming. I'll just give you a quick example. I was talking to a friend. We both like to watch Fox News, but also watch CNN, MSNBC, CNBC, and he was critical of me for doing that. He said well, why are you listening to these other viewpoints? I said, Well, because I want to hear what other people have to say. 

And then I will listen to both presentations and then I'll decide, I don't want people spoon-feeding me everything they think I should know. You know, I want to know for myself, so I do a lot of reading and studying. And but I haven't read anywhere near or studied anywhere near like you have about Coronavirus, and this impacts everybody in the world. So this is a timely topic. And I want to thank you again for being willing to do this. So let's go to work. So the very first thing that you hear, the travel bands from China and Europe have saved lives in the US. Talk about that. 

Bill: Well, it's probably true that keeping infected people out of your country was an important thing to do. And countries that did it very early on, like New Zealand and Vietnam, they basically closed their borders completely in January and were able to get the virus under control because they kept infected people out of their country. 

By the time that we imposed travel bans in the United States, both from China and from Europe, the virus was already here. It had already, especially come in from Europe, the outbreaks that we saw in New York and New Jersey early on were triggered by visitors from Europe. And so it was already here. The bans helped, I'm sure, but the virus was already here. 

John: When you send that last week when we were talking, especially that it came from Europe. So my mindset was I was thinking that it came from people who came here from China, you know, or who had visited China. So the concept of it coming primarily from Europe was fascinating. 

Bill: There's a great, an article that was written very early on by a reporter who studied airline routes and traffic, air traffic patterns. And I was surprised to realize, I never heard of Wu Han before this. These are, you know, it's a moderately sized city in China of only you know, what, 10 million or something. It's, you know, that to us is gigantic, but in China that's moderate. They have direct flights all over the world, including to the United States, but also to Europe. 

And so, by the time, you know, the virus probably was spreading already in December, flights were going back and forth, people were going to Europe. And it was essentially, you know, going under the radar. It was spreading out across the world before people even realized how serious it could become. So most of the infections that we got, or most of the spread that we got in on along the east coast, in fact, they have shown had come from infections in Europe. But of course, those came from China. 

John: Right. Right, because people who had been visiting there. Here's another one, so let's talk about this one. If we did less testing, we would have fewer cases. Fact or fiction?

Testing Does NOT Create Cases

Bill: Yeah, that's, well, it's totally false. I mean, testing reveals who's infected. If you don't test people, then you don't know who's infected. That doesn't change the fact that they're infected. And they're still there. So, you know, doing less testing simply, yes, it means that your confirmed cases would be a smaller number, but the total cases would still be there, you just wouldn't know about it. And you wouldn't be controlling them in any way and so the spread of the virus would be less well-controlled if you did less testing. 

What we know is that there are a lot of people who are infected but don't have very severe symptoms. They may respond to the virus like they might respond to the flu virus or to the cold virus. So they, we call them a sip, asymptomatic. There are people who are infected who can spread the virus who don't feel sick. And this is, of course, one of the problems that if you don't think you're sick, then you go about your daily life and you go about your daily business without any precautions and you could be spreading the virus without knowing it. 

John: And that's the scary part, isn't it? Because I'm not sick. I don't think I have it. So if I don't wear a mask and do the things necessary, which we'll get into in a few minutes, then I could be unknowingly impacting other people and making them sick. 

Bill: Exactly right. 

John: That's scary. You made a comment and in prepping for this call, you shared some information that you said that it's been estimated that the total number of infections is five to 10 times higher than the number of confirmed cases. When I saw that I gasped. I went Are you kidding me? It's amazing. 

Bill: No, it's because people who, you know, who are asymptomatic or have very mild symptoms don't go get tested. That's, of course, a big problem. We don't have the testing capacity that we really need. If you could test everyone frequently, then you'd know who had the virus and you'd be able to control the spread. But right now, you know, getting a test in Leon County, sometimes you have to wait a week before you get your results. 

Well, you know, first of all, if you don't feel sick, you're not going to go get tested and you could be spreading the virus. If you do feel a little bit sick and you go get tested but you don't get your results for a week, you could be spreading the virus for a whole week before you finally get a result. It's, we needed, rapid turnaround and much more widespread testing. 

That's the only way to get it under control is to figure out who's got it, get them to self, you know, to isolate or to self-quarantine. But if you don't know who's got it, you're stuck. How many people are actually been exposed or actually have the virus versus how many have actually been tested? That, you know, that's for this, I've seen a number of estimates between five and 10 times as many confirmed cases, that there could be five to 10 times as many people who actually have the virus or have had it and just never knew it. 

John: Right? I was, as you were saying, if it takes a week to get my results, I may not have it when I go in to get the test, by the time I get my results back, I could have been exposed and have it. So how do we solve that? I mean, it's not practical to go back every week and get tested.

Bill: Well, you know, we had an opportunity back in February and March to mobilize the resources of our country to develop and deploy on a massive scale the kind of testing that we need. I mean, we need to be testing millions of people per day. And right now, we're doing a fraction of that. 

John: Yes. And I hope we'll get into a conversation in a few minutes about vaccines and things like that coming down the road. But I'm intrigued by another one, statement here. So, again, fact efficient. Our thought fatality rate is the lowest in the world. 

Bill: Yeah, there's two components to this. There's what they call the case fatality ratio, which is total number of deaths from the disease divided by the number of infections or how many cases there were. Problem is we don't know how many cases there actually have been. All we know is how many positive tests have been reported. But in fact, there could be five to 10 times as many people that actually had the disease or have the disease. 

What we do know, so if you take the total number of deaths and divide it by the number of cases, that gives you the case fatality ratio. We don't know what that is. Nobody knows what that is anywhere in the world because we don't know how many people actually are infected, or have been infected. Nobody knows that anywhere. We know how many people are dying, the data on that is a lot easier to get and it's more reliable. 

But so if you talk about the case fatality ratio, you just, we don't know what that is. It's probably going to be pretty low, probably less than half a percent. So, you know, that sounds good but when you have 331 million people, if 1% of the people died, if everyone got infected and 1% of them died, right, that would be 3 million deaths. So the numbers are, you know, scary. We've got right now I think 170,000 deaths from this disease in 180 days that we've known about it. 

The average is about 1000 a day, that would be the equivalent of having 10 airplanes with 100 people each crashing every day and then everyone dying. If that were going on, we'd be, our country would be in uproar over that. And, you know, why can't we stop this? Why can't we get that under control? Well, we're getting, you know, we're losing 1000 people a day to something which was in fact, mostly preventable. So, the, again, pointing out that we keep pretty good track of the number of deaths, we think it's about 170,000. 

It could be higher than that because some people die that what we call excess deaths. If you look at how many deaths occur over a week's period or a month period or a season, compare that to the number of people that die, you know, during say the spring or the summer of a normal year. And we're higher. We're well above normal. And the estimate is that we're about probably more like 200,000 people have died from this. The official count is 170,000. 

John: I have a question there. I personally know the situation where a lady, 96 years old died last week. They said that she died of the virus. And I heard her son say, Well, she had the virus but let's be honest, she was already very ill and we knew she was going to die. Yes, she contracted the virus. But how much of that, Bill, do you think is being reported in the way of where it kind of skewers the numbers? There's no way to measure that, is there? 

Bill: That's where the excess death statistic is more useful because again, you go back and you look at, you know, any period you want. So, in this case, you would look at since the virus really got here, pretty much at the end of February. 

So if you looked in spring, March, April, May, and summer, June, July, August, you take that six month period, you look at how many people have died in this country in the last six months and you compare that to that same period the year before and the year before, and you go back maybe five years, and you average how many people normally in this country die every, during the spring and summer. And we're, right now, we're about 200,000 higher than normal. And we know that, you know, again, the testing and the hospitals where they've attributed the cause of death, 170,000 and the excess deaths is 200,000. 

Those numbers aren't very different. You know, it's, they're in the same ballpark. And that tells us, that gives us confidence that, in fact, it is this disease, that so this 94-year-old woman, last year, she was 93 and she might have passed away last year under normal conditions. And she would have been part of the normal death rate for the spring and summer of a normal year. What we're seeing now is a very abnormal year with 200,000 excess deaths. And what's different? Well, we have a virus going around that kills people. 

John: So, when you explain it that way, it makes sense. But see, for someone who is not a scientist and you don't think that way, that would never cross your mind. You and again, it comes back to we are overwhelmed with information but yet, how good is the information? But let me jump into another one. 

Bill: They talk about comorbidity, these people who have, people who are dying often have underlying health conditions which makes them more vulnerable. So this virus basically pushes them over the edge. They are, you know, they're overweight, they have high blood pressure, they, you know, they have many underlying conditions. And, but that, you those deaths occur in a normal year. And what we see now with the excess deaths being so high and being, as I say, being relatively consistent with what the hospitals are reporting for coronavirus deaths. 

Those numbers are not that different. So that gives us confidence that the reason these people are dying is because the virus is, you know, in some cases, yes, it's the virus. It infects their lungs, they can't breathe, inflames their heart, they have, you know, they die from the virus. But many, many of these deaths are people who were not in the best of health and the virus just pushed them over the edge. But then you still have to count the virus as the cause. 

John: Right. Got it. That's helpful. I appreciate that. Okay, I want to go to the next statement here because this one is intriguing to me and I want to hear your views on this one. We all learned about this new virus at the same time. So what did other countries do that we had not done in the US?

Masks are not Infallible, but They Work

Bill: Right. Well, the two countries that really stand out are New Zealand and Vietnam. They basically closed their borders. They started testing and started isolating people who were positive. They adopted 100% mask wearing because they had, we have seen in previous respiratory viruses like the SARS virus that came out. And, of course, you can go back 100 years to the Spanish Flu epidemic when mask wearing was adopted in this country as well. But those countries went, you know, really hard lockdown. Vietnam locked down for 100 days. They just shut down everything. Everyone wore a mask. 

Everyone was self-isolating. And they got their cases down to, you know, essentially zero. And under those conditions, then when the virus is so rare, then people can actually start behaving normally again because the virus just isn't out there in the public. It's not spreading in what they call community spread. Now what, there are countries that did things that immediately, you know, kind of, you know, some European countries did more or less lockdown than others. Italy got hit really hard early on, the UK has been hit really hard. 

And if you look at what they did early, they didn't do enough. What they did later helped and you saw in this country when the first big wave hit in New York and New Jersey and hospitalizations were going crazy and Governor Cuomo was asking for ventilators. And then they locked things down. And their case counts came back down and they've remained quite low ever since then. 

And they're just now starting to reopen the economy up there. What you saw, you know, in states like Florida and Arizona and Texas, things were coming down and so they started to reopen the economy when the virus was still out there. It was too prevalent in the community. And as soon as you open the bars and as soon as you open the restaurants, then people get out there congregating and they spread it. 

Now, what we have seen is that mask wearing, while it's not perfect, has a big effect, a big positive effect on keeping the virus contained. So that comes back to this whole idea that an asymptomatic person could go out there infecting people without having any idea that they're doing that. If they had a mask on, the chances they would infect other people would be much lower. And if I've got a mask on, the chances that you'll infect me go down. 

John: Right. We were talking last week about this. It really, that stood out to me so much. And so I want you to expand on that. So you gave an example, that demanding that people wear a mask. And I'm going to say this up front, I'm going to freely admit this. When they first started talking about wearing masks, I was against it. 

I'm like, I don't, I'm not convinced that's going to be effective early on. I'm not so sure I'm gonna do that. Then as I started listening and learning more, and then last week, especially, we were talking about it, you made a point about comparing demanding that people wear a mask to prohibiting indoor smoking. Would you take a few minutes to talk about that? That was very profound for me. 

Bill: Well, you know, people are arguing or claiming that if you, the government, demands that I wear a mask, you're infringing on my rights, my personal rights and my freedom. 

John: And I said that in front. I admit that. I said that. 

Bill: Well, the same thing happened, you know, goes back now, it started, what, 20 years ago, probably and it took about 10 years where we banned indoor smoking because there was more and more evidence that people who are exposed to secondhand smoke could get sick. So we basically violated everyone's personal rights and we told everyone you cannot smoke indoors in public buildings and restaurants and bars because when you exhale, that's, your exhalation poses a health risk to the people around you. And, you know, not every smoker is going to infect everyone. 

Not everyone's going to get cancer from breathing a little secondhand smoke. But we banned indoor smoking out of what I call an abundance of caution. We want to protect everyone against the harmful exhalations of people who are smoking indoors. Well, if you are, have this virus and you don't, you may be asymptomatic, and you go and you're breathing and you're talking and you're singing and doing all the things you might do in public, you are posing a health risk to the people around you. 

And you do not have the right to make other people sick. You never have that right. And so demanding that people wear masks out of abundance, and again out of an abundance of caution, is not a violation of your personal rights. Well, it's a violation that we should accept because we do not have the right to make other people sick. 

John: And just so everybody would know, Bill and I both enjoy our cigars, but we make sure we smoke them outside, right Bill? 

Bill: No, that's right. It was, but, you know, a there was, you know, you if, you lived through the indoor smoking ban. Getting that implemented, there was a lot of argument about it. And a lot of oh, especially bars that, you know, didn't want to enforce it. And now it's pretty much accepted. You know, it took a while, but everyone, you know, nobody smokes indoors anymore because we realized that it was, you know, potentially dangerous to the health of the people around you. So 

John: Well, that's a good segue to another question. So here's a question for you. What can we do, we, everyday citizens, to get things under control? And what should, and I'm gonna ask this question because you're not in politics, you're not running for any office, you're not running for mayor, city commissioner, county commission, you're not running for state office or federal office. 

So what should we, as citizens, and what should our leaders be doing to help get things under control to where, at some point, we hopefully go back to a normal life? Which frankly, I don't think we'll ever go back to real normal. But your thoughts on that based on your studying and scientifics.

What We Need to Do to Get This Under Control

Bill: Well, you know, there was a, you know, a lot of discussion early on about flattening the curve. And that was, you know, that was a good thing. That's what we wanted to do. We wanted to reduce the rate of infection, stop the spread. And there's, you know, again, some countries went really hard. They locked down completely, and they locked down for months. Other countries decided, like Sweden decided that they weren't going to do that. And they have a death rate, which is, you know, the per capita death rate in Sweden is very high. 

It's much higher than ours, although ours is pretty high. So those are things that, you know, we can see what we did. Some people did, some countries did the right thing or did something that helped and other countries did things that didn't help. So we could take a lesson from that. It may be that if everyone wore a mask all the time whenever they're outdoors, I'm sorry, whenever they're around other people, if you're outdoors, it's, you know, the chances of spreading it to someone else are much, much lower. 

So, yeah, you know, you can go to the beach probably and not have to wear a mask when you're down in the breeze, you know, with the breeze blowing off the ocean. But if we had mandatory masks nationwide, that would, that might be enough to reduce the spread to the point where we can get the infection rate down and, you know, get things going back to normal. We could lock down for about a month. 

If we locked down everything again, if we shut down the country for a month, that's about how long it would take because the incubation period is a week or so, a week to 10 days, maybe two weeks. And so, you know, you get people, you get through two rounds of infection, perhaps, in a month or six weeks. That would be extreme and we probably won't do that. But it might be that wearing masks is enough. And, you know, that would help if we had that leadership. 

Again, the countries that did well, and New Zealand's the greatest example, they had a very strong Prime Minister who came out right on the top, right at the beginning and she said, Everyone has to wear a mask. Now, we don't have that sort of structure in this country. We do have a federal government and we have leaders at the top who could send that message. But the mandate would have to be enforced or imposed at the state or local level. The states should all, you know, if it's the President of the United States said Everyone needs to wear a mask and then the governor is all said. 

Okay, we're going to put in a mask mandate in every state, then that would help. They talk about large gatherings. Well, if everyone wore a mask, maybe those large gatherings wouldn't be such a problem. There's no evidence, for example, during the Black Lives Matter rallies that occurred back in June, a lot of those people were wearing masks. And there's, people are looking. Did those rallies trigger a massive explosion in coronavirus cases? And it doesn't appear that they did. So being outdoors is good. 

Wearing a mask is good. But, you know, crowded bars and restaurants, no, that's not a good thing. And, you know, large gatherings where people are not wearing masks. Well, that's happening now. We've seen it happen in some examples with weddings or funerals where, or choirs, the church choir that, you know, one person is infected and suddenly half the choir's infected. That's so, you know, we have to avoid those things for you know, a month, six weeks. That would do it.

John: On our, I like to call it the call before the call, you were making an observation. What university was it? North Carolina University, right? They just closed down, they open then and they closed back down. 

Bill: Yeah, well, they opened up, they didn't, they had mask recommendation but not mask mandate, and they had, you know, if you remember when you were in college, I do, and there were, you know, there's people get together and there's a lot of partying going on and not a lot of mask wearing. And so there were several outbreaks at UNC Chapel Hill and they've now gone back to no in-person classes for, well, we'll see how long. But they're, you know, starting immediately now they're closing down all their in-person instruction and going to online instruction only. We're going to see that happen. 

Florida's, most of the public schools in Florida are dude open next week. We'll see what happens. If masks are not being worn all the time, these kids will be exposed. They will take it home to their families, take it home to their parents and their grandparents, their aunts and their uncles. It's potentially that we, it may be that we don't get it. Everyone's always hoping for the best. And it may be that if everyone wore a mask whenever they're around other people, that might be enough. But we'll see. 

John: What's interesting, Again, we were prepping for this, one of the things that you shared with me was the kids, maybe they don't get very sick. But as you just said, they could and probably would spread it if they got it. Maybe they don't get sick, but they can make especially the grandparents sick. I'm thinking about my grandson. I have great-grandchildren even and I'm thinking, wow, you know, I didn't think about that before. 

But who were they around? I mean, they could have it and we don't even know it. They can make me sick. I'm a, I guess I'm a higher risk than normal. I'm 67, I'll be 68 in December. I've had open heart surgery in 2008. I had surgery on both legs last year, February and July respectively. So that would make me a higher risk, correct? 

Risk Factors to be Aware of

Bill: Oh, yeah. I think, you know, not as bad as the, you know, the people with, who already have respiratory issues, you know, COPD or high blood pressure or diabetes or overweight. You know, those are all the things that people talk about is, you know, comorbidities that make you more vulnerable to more serious outcomes from the virus. But you think about, you know, the kids, if you're, especially, it's hard to get, we think it's going to be hard to get really young kids to keep their masks on in school and how to keep them socially distant. 

They like to hug each other, they like to hug the teachers, they're social, you know, we're social creatures. So we don't like to sit around and be isolated all the time. So you think about, you know, a kid goes to, your kid goes to a school and maybe based on what's going to happen in Leon County, about half the elementary school children have opted for not coming to school. They'll do distance learning. About half of the kids say they want to come. 

Of course, a lot of that's because their parents need to put their kids somewhere so they can go back to work. But that kid is going to be exposed to 50, 100 other kids who are in turn exposed to their families, their friends. This, you know, your child is essentially being exposed to hundreds of other people every day they go to school. And it doesn't, you know, you can imagine that if a few in that group are carrying the virus and spreading it, there's a chance that your child will get it, they'll bring it home, they'll, you know, you'll be exposed to it. 

You might not know it, especially for a week or so, you might not know it. And then so the chance for rapid widespread is high. There was a fellow interviewed on television this morning, arguing that he thinks that opening schools is going to result in a burst of infections bigger than we saw in June and July where we actually exceeded the number of cases that had initially swamped New York and New Jersey. We exceeded that by a factor of three or four. He's thinking that's it's going to be even worse. And you know, I hope not, but we're gonna get to do, we'll do the test and we'll see. 

John: Right. Well, let's talk about testing. Another thing I've heard you say is the only way we're going to really know is if we had the ability to test more people, test them on a more regular basis and maybe more than once to find out for sure. And let's talk about that. And let's also, as we begin to wrap up a little bit here, think in terms and share with us your thoughts about testing and also about a virus vaccine virus, for the virus, because it goes back to, I know when I was a kid, we were very worried about measles and smallpox and polio. 

It was a big deal. And as a Rotarian, I know that we have been fighting polio and it's pretty much eradicated around the world now. But that when I was a kid, measles and smallpox was a big scare. And I remember all the concern about it in the schools, family, everywhere. So talk a little bit about testing, the importance of it. And then also vaccine. Your thoughts on that. Where we are and where we're headed. 

Bill: Yeah, I think we've, well, again with testing, we don't have enough of it and the turnaround time is too long. We need rapid, you know, basically point of use testing, where you get the results within a few hours. And we're just now starting to see that. The FDA, I think is has approved or is about to approve a test that is a saliva-based test that you could do at home and you could get results within a few hours. Now, here we are six months into this and that's just now coming online. We could have, six months ago, used the Defense Production Act, which was invoked to make ventilators because it looked like we were going to run out of ventilators. 

Well, if you looked at today's paper, nationally, we have now a surplus of ventilators. We have more ventilators than we need. The Defense Production Act was invoked. Ford, a couple of other companies jumped on it and started making ventilators. Well, that should have been done for testing as well. We should have used the full power of our government to get companies to develop and get these tests out there as broadly as possible. 

But at the same time, you heard from our leadership that, well, maybe we're doing too much testing. And maybe if we didn't do some much testing, we wouldn't have so many cases. And we've already talked about that. So that was a mistake, I think, that was made early on not to emphasize testing. And we need more testing. You should be, if I were sending my child to school, I'd want to be tested, I would want that kid to be tested every day. We're not anywhere close to that. We're nowhere close to that, right? 

John: It would be awesome if we had the ability to do that, wouldn't it? 

Bill: Right. Well, other countries have done this. You know, we didn't, but other countries did. And again, once you get the caseload, the number of cases and the positivity rate, you know, for every test how many, what percentage turns out to be positive, right? They, right now in Florida, it's been as high as 20% of the test coming back were positive. Now it's down below 10 and they're arguing, the experts argue if you can get it below about 5%, that tells you that you're, you know, things are getting to be under control. 

But you don't know that if you don't do enough testing. So getting the cases down to a really low level is one way to reduce the impact. The other way, well, there's three ways you can do it. That's one way. The other way is what they call herd immunity where you just let it go and you just hope that after, what, 70, 75% of the population has been exposed, has gone through the course of the virus, then there's no one left for the virus to infect and so it dies out as a result of that. 

Well, that would mean several million people dying and hundreds of thousands of people with lifelong lung and organ damage as a result of this virus. So we don't want that. The other way, the last way, is with a vaccine. And people are pushing the vaccine development faster than it's ever been done before. Usually, it takes years. Now they're trying to do it in months. 

And we will see vaccines hopefully available, you know, within a few months, perhaps in early next year. And I'm just hoping that first of all, that they're effective and that they're safe and that people will get vaccinated because we see a rising, what we call the Anti-Vax Movement. People who are somehow fearful of vaccines. They think, for a variety of reasons. You've probably seen the, I don't know what to call it, that Bill Gates is going to put a microchip in the vaccine so he can follow everyone around. 

It's like, that's absurd. You know, that's, first of all, he doesn't have that kind of power. Secondly, everyone with an iPhone, they're already following you around, right? They already know where you are all the time. They don't need to put a microchip in your vaccine to follow you around. That's just absurd. He's, you know, that's never going to happen. That's a ridiculous thing to even suggest. There are people who argue that well, vaccines gave my kid autism. Well, that's been debunked over and over. 

There are some people who respond badly to a vaccine. Yes, there are some people who actually get the disease that the vaccine is designed to stop. It's a tiny percentage. And yes, it's horrible when it happens. But we're talking about, you know, potentially protecting a, you know, a couple hundred million, 300 million Americans and of course, globally, billions of people. And yes, there is going to be, someone will react negatively to the vaccine. But right now, you know, we're seeing a lot of people react really badly to this virus to the tune of 170,000 deaths. 

You would never see anywhere close to that, the number of negative responses to a vaccine. It would be in the 10s or hundreds perhaps, but never in the hundred thousands. So I'm hoping that the vaccine will come sooner rather than later and that once everyone's vaccinated, basically we can go back to work. You know, I grew up with getting the polio vaccine because it was such a devastating disease and everyone got it and there was, there wasn't any, there was no question about it. 

You did it because you didn't want to get this debilitating disease. People who are, you know, it's getting to the point now where people don't want to get their kids vaccinated. Well, if you don't, and measles is a great example because babies cannot, they're too young to be vaccinated, right? So that if you say, Well, my five-year-old is old enough or my four-year-old is old enough to be vaccinated, but I don't want to do it because I'm worried that they'll get autism. 

Alright, so that kid gets measles and then he exposes an infant who's too young to be vaccinated to measles. And that's potentially deadly to the infant. So the people who are, who don't want to get vaccinated are actually, it's a very selfish position to take. There are some people who, you know, legitimate reasons, that's fine. Maybe even religious reasons, that's fine. But in many cases, it's, if you look at it carefully, it's a very selfish attitude to take that you're willing to carry this disease and expose other people to it because you don't want to get vaccinated. 

John: Right and the things you just said, it may be fine, but it's still endangering other people. Let's do this, Bill. I would like for you please, by way of a wrap-up, just walk us through the things that, based on this discussion today, okay, about the virus facts and fiction. What would you say each of us that's listening to this, either today, if somebody were to hear it today or even a month from now, what are the things that you think we as individuals should be doing right now to protect ourselves and the people that we love and care about? 

Take the Proper Steps to Care for Your Fellow Human

Bill: Number one, wear a mask and don't complain to the workers at Walmart or Publix or wherever you go shopping when that, you know, they ask you to wear a mask when you come in. They're having to fight with people who don't want to wear their masks. Cover your nose and your mouth. Don't put the mask below your nose. 

Yes, it'll fog up your glasses. You know, deal with it. It's just not that big a deal. It's not that uncomfortable. Even a simple cloth mask is better than no mask. And if, I think if everyone did that and limited their, these large social gatherings, you know, the bars, if the bars reopen, there's, you know, because nobody's, you got to take your mask down to drink your beer so that's a risk. Stay home as much as you can. And when you're out and when you're in public places with other people, wear a mask. 

You don't have to wear it in your car. You don't have to wear it at home. You don't have to wear it when you're walking around the block to get exercise. But wear it when you go to the store, wear it when you're, you know, with other, around other people in an enclosed space. And limit the exposure, limit the number of times you do that. Those are the simple, it's so simple. We can get this under control, I think, very quickly. 

John: I have been impressed with some things that I have seen personally. I went to a funeral, tomorrow it'll be four weeks ago to be exact, and I was impressed with the way that it was handled. Everyone in the room, everyone at this chapel, was wearing a mask. No one had to come over and be prodded to wear it, nobody had to be told to keep some distance. In fact, I'm to the point now when I see someone that I know very well that normally I would give a big ole hug, I just wait, I stop, I say, Okay, what are we doing? Are we bowing, hugging, kissing, handshake, elbow bump, ankle bump, what are we doing? 

And, you know, many times now I'm just, I see people, you know, I served in the military when I was in Okinawa in Thailand, a lot of bowing, so we just bow. And we make light of it and have some fun with it because the damn thing is such a serious topic that you gotta bring some levity to it. If not, you go insane. But I was impressed with that at the funeral. And then I went to a function, had dinner, and I was cautious about going. I said well, I'm gonna go and if I'm worried, I'll get up and leave. 

And again, people who came as a couple, you were at a table by yourself, no one else around you. Tables are like 10 feet apart. It was really strange looking actually, because they had to take up more space than they normally would. But I was impressed. And no one was acting out as kids would do as they call it. Everyone wore the mask. They took it off to have their dinner. And then when they went to the bar to get another drink, it was impressive to see him put it back on while walking up there. And I thought, Wow, what a great example of the things we should be doing. And I haven't been to other events. 

Bill: No, I agree. I agree. I think again, it's a, you know, it's, if you care about your fellow man, your fellow, you know, the humans that you live around, this is the, they're all the words. It's the humane thing to do. It's the intelligent thing to do. It's even the patriotic thing to do. If you want to protect, you know, our country is going through a real tough time right now. We have massive unemployment. We have people losing their jobs, businesses closing. 

You know, this virus is causing, taking a huge toll on our economy, on our country, our social structure. It's the patriotic thing to do to help get it under control. And wearing a mask is so simple. In the early days, I understood, they said don't wear masks because we need to keep them for the health care workers and the first responders. 

That's still true. N95, these high-efficiency N95 masks should be, you know, the general public doesn't need those. Health care workers need them. But a simple cloth mask, these surgical masks, hey look like paper, the blue ones that you see hook around your ears, those all are, they all are better than nothing, right? Any mask is better than no mask. And wear it whenever you're around other people outside of your, the people you live with. 

And when I would hope, I think that would have a, again, the countries that did this, we can't separate the effect, right? The countries that locked down and went to mask wearing, Taiwan did that. Universal masks, they locked down their country. If we had done what Taiwan had done, based on our population compared to theirs, we would have had 100 deaths from this virus instead of 170,000. That's the difference between total control with strong leadership and society willing to go along with the message that they get, the leadership that they're getting. We could have saved 165,000 people. It's not too late.

John: Well, while that's true, right. It's not too late. I was gonna say while it's true, there's nothing we can do about that. But here's what we can do and the only thing we can do is take personal responsibility and the first obligation, just like on an airplane, they tell you, okay, there's a problem, oxygen mask falls down, put it on yourself first. There's a reason for that. So you're able to help other people. 

So first, take personal responsibility, folks, and take care of yourself. Take care of the people around you love and care about and be respectful of other people. And, Bill, I just want to say thank you so much. This, I knew this will be good, but it was better than I anticipated. And I just want to thank you for sharing the knowledge you have gained by letting the scientists and you do the exploring and the heavy lifting for us. I just thank you so much for taking the time to share this information on our podcast. 

Bill: Well, it's been a pleasure to do it and I would, closing thought would be if you have questions about this sort of stuff, you know, turn to the experts. Turn to the biologists and the epidemiologists, the Dr. Faucis of the world because they are the ones who are, who really understand this and are going to give you the best advice on what to do going forward. You know, the talking head you might see on one of the, you know, afternoon TV shows is not an expert in this field. So talk to the expert, listen to the expert. 

John: Nor are the politicians that are arguing and fussing about stuff either, you know, as we get closer to elections. But my friend, I just looked at the time, we've been going for over 55 minutes, and it seems like it's been five minutes. Thank you so much for sharing. And, again, every time I'm around you, I learn something new. So thank you so much, Bill. 

Bill: Well, thanks, John. It's been a pleasure. 

John: And folks, I hope you've enjoyed this and please expand your knowledge and understand more. And Bill, we'll catch up later my friend. Thanks again.

Voiceover: If you'd like to know more about John Curry's services, you can request a complimentary information package by visiting johnhcurry.com/podcast. Again, that is johnhcurry.com/podcast or you can call his office at 850-562-3000. Again that is 850-562-3000. John H. Curry, chartered life underwriter, chartered financial consultant, accredited estate planner, masters in science and financial services, certified in long term care, registered representative and financial advisor at Park Avenue Securities LLC. 

Securities products and services and advisory services are offered through Park Avenue Securities a registered broker-dealer and investment advisor. Park Avenue Securities is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Guardian. North Florida Financial Corporation is not an affiliate or subsidiary of Park Avenue Securities. Park Avenue Securities is a member of FINRA and SIPC. This material is intended for general public use. By providing this material, we are not undertaking to provide investment advice for any specific individual or situation or to otherwise act in a fiduciary capacity. 

Please contact one of our financial professionals for guidance and information specific to your individual situation. All investments contain risk and may lose value. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Guardian and subsidiaries, agents or employees do not provide legal tax or accounting advice. Please consult with your attorney, accountant and or tax advisor for advice concerning your particular circumstances. 

Not affiliated with the Florida Retirement System. The Living Balance Sheet and the Living Balance Sheet logo are registered service marks of The Guardian Life Insurance Company of America, New York, New York Copyright 2005-2020. This podcast is for informational purposes only. Guest speakers and their firms are not affiliated with or endorsed by Park Avenue Securities or Guardian and opinions stated are their own. 

2020-107125 Expires 8/2022

Your COVID-19 Financial Action Plan

COVID-19 is the hot topic in the news right now, and in this special episode we give our own take on the situation. There’s no special guest today, but we do think this episode is needed amid the chaos out there in the world.

Specifically, we take time to reflect on other hard times in the past and discuss how we got through them, along with speculating what the future may hold. 

Most importantly, we take time to discuss how you should be handling your finances during this unstable and unsettling time. We’ll also chat about:

  • The importance of not keeping all your money in one place

  • Your COVID-19 financial action plan

  • Why trying to time the market is typically not the best idea

  • How to find help and ask for it if you need it

Listen now…

Transcript

Steve Gordon: Welcome to the Secure Retirement Podcast. My name is Steve Gordon. I am here with your regular host, John Curry. And John, welcome. Excited to be here. It's a, we're in some challenging and uncertain times but always good to see your face here across the Zoom screen, the way we're now all meeting across the world.

John Curry: It seems like today, more and more people will be using Zoom. I hear people all the time now talking about it. I say oh, well that's great. We've been using it for quite a while. Been doing conferencing like this for at least two and a half years. Actually longer than that. April moved to Jacksonville two years ago. So out of necessity, we started doing it more often like daily.

Steve: Yeah. It's fantastic technology. I'm so grateful that we have it. We're certainly living in different and newly challenging times. I was reflecting with my wife a couple of days ago, just trying to imagine what this would have been like a decade ago. And we're very well equipped to be able to continue to operate now. 

So I'm thankful for that and I'm glad I can see you today. So today we're going to talk about I guess some things that have been on your mind around what's happening with the economy, with the coronavirus, all that sort of stuff. Can you kind of kick us off and just give us a little bit of your perspective? You know, you've stayed amazingly calm through all this and I know that's a lot of just the way you are, but it comes from experience. So help us.

John’s Take On the Current Situation 

John: Well, let me do my best. I like to think of this as what do you do in uncertain times. I started in September of 1975. And to set the stage, that was right after the oil embargo. I remember coming back from Thailand in 1974, had to wait in line for an hour and a half to get a ration of five gallons of gasoline. That was 1974. I came back in April from Thailand and got out of the Air Force in October of 74. And the economy was in pretty bad shape in 73, 74. And in 75, I came into the business, people still reeling from that. 

So we had the oil embargo in the 70s and the market was misbehaving then. Then move forward to the 80s, 1987. What happened? We had the biggest market crash since the Great Depression. People were panicking. But the people who stayed the course did very well. Then 1990s, I remember 1994 buying a house, My plan, Steve, was to take money out of my mutual funds for the down payment. Well, the market was bad. Had I taken the money out, I'd have a permanent loss. 

So instead, I borrowed on my life insurance cash values, used that money for the closing and downpayment. And then when the market came back then I think cashed in some of the mutual funds and paid my loan back. And one nice thing about life insurance cash values by way, they never have a bad day. When the market's down it does not impact my cash values. More on that later. Then go to the 2000s, 2000, 2001, 2002, double-digit losses in the market three years running. 

And people were being told stay the course, stay the course, stay the course. And the people who did, did just fine. But maybe you couldn't stay the course. What if you just entered retirement, had to take money out? That's what a lot of people were doing with their IRAs. They were being forced to take money out of their IRAs in a down market. And in 2001, Congress and Department of Treasury put their heads together and said, okay, we need to change the amount that people are being forced to take out of retirement accounts. 

So they raised the divisor from 16 to 24. Excuse me, 27, 24. So that meant you took out less. So why do they do that? Because if you're taking money out of your accounts in a down market, it's almost impossible to recover because you're already lost money, you're taking it out, it has no chance to grow. Then you take a look at 2008 with what they call the Great Recession. Again, people were hurt. And not just in the market, real estate, everything was collapsing. 

And people were very fearful. Just think back to 2001 how bad it was. Planes weren't flying, everything was shut down. So when people ask me, John, how in the world can you be so calm with what's happening with the market in the last few days? And I just smile and I say, Well, because I've been there before. This is not my first rodeo. And we've all been through it. I'm 67 years old so if you're my age, you've experienced the same things. Maybe not as directly because I'm seeing clients every day dealing with this. 

And now here we are in 2020 and we have this thing called the coronavirus and the impact it has had on shutting things down. In a lot of ways, Steve, it just reminds me of what we experienced in 2008. But if you look back at the last 10 or 11 years, we've had a bull market. The market did the best that it's ever done. Now we've lost a lot of those games, if not all of it in the last few days. Just this morning, I was looking at three of my accounts. One's an investment account. It's down 30%. 30% in the last three weeks. 

Okay, am I going to panic and move that money? No. It's staying right there. In a few minutes, we'll get into how I can have that calmness and maintain that plan of action. My two annuities down, but if I want income to start now the income is guaranteed. So my two accounts that are in the market, but I have guarantees wrapped around those things so that I have guaranteed streams of income if I chose to turn them on right now. And already mentioned my life insurance cash values earlier. My cash values give me the peace of mind and the power of knowing that I have money sitting there that's guaranteed. 

So I don't have to worry about that. And I like that. Then we teach and preach, don't spend all your money, don't invest all your money. Keep some in liquid savings. So, frankly, I can remain calm because I know that I've got money set aside that's earmarked for retirement. I've got money set aside for emergency funds. And I have my life insurance in place to take care of my family. So it allows me to do things differently than some people who just invest only and don't plan.

Steve: I appreciate you sharing that perspective. We've been through this before. If not this exact circumstance, we've been through some scary times before. Yeah, I was three years old in 1974. 

John: Thank you for that. Yeah, I appreciate you letting me know that young man.

Steve: Well, I'm, and I'm not sure that for that reason. I do remember sitting in gas lines with my parents. And I don't think I remember them being worried and aggravated. It was not a fun time, but I don't remember much more than that about it. And, you know, as you were describing that, you know, senior thinking, what would it be like today if we were rationing gasoline? It'd be a very different situation. We're not there now. Could we get to that point? 

Maybe. I doubt it. I don't think that's where we're going here, but it kind of puts this into perspective that we've been in some challenging times before. Some very difficult times before and yet we've recovered, we've moved on. Life still goes on. And I think taking a moment to kind of put that into perspective is actually helpful right now because it's very easy to look at what's going on around us when it feels like, you know, there's another shoe dropping every minute and get really anxious and worried. 

Have a Plan in Place

John: Well, you're correct in that. And I'll just kind of add a little bit of levity to this. I remember a funny thing. I remember one of the times I'm in line to buy gas is Seymour Johnson Air Force Base in North Carolina and I ran out of gas 15 feet from the pump.And had to get some guys help me push my car. They were, of course, willing to because I was holding them up behind me. But 15 feet from the gas pump had to push me up there to get more gas. And back then I was driving in 1960 Ford Fairlane 500. It was a straight six-cylinder so it didn't burn much gas. How things change, right?

Steve: Yeah, well, were you laughing about that at the time?

John: Oh, I was mad as hell. I wasn't laughing at all. There was no laughter at all. That's why I'm laughing now. I've laughed many times since then. But on a serious note, let's just talk about what's happening. What's happening is we, all of us are somewhat guilty of this. I think I told you earlier today I was watching television yesterday. I wanted to see what was happening with the markets and also the latest on the coronavirus and you and I made a comment kiddingly about I could never fully retire. That's true. If I had to sit around all day long watching that stuff on television, I don't know what to do. 

I think I'd just be a basket case because you hear one person saying something that's like fearful and another talking about that creates chaos. The bottom line is you have to have an action plan. And if you don't have your own plan, guess what? Someone's got one for you. And it's probably not the one you want. So I'm going to give a piece of advice right here. Whether it's me or somebody on my team, if you're listening to this and you're uncertain about what to do, don't do anything until you talk with someone you can trust and tell the truth, the whole truth, nothing but the truth.

Lay all of your stuff on the table and make sound decisions because the planning we do, we tell people every day, it's designed to make sure it works under all circumstances, positive and negative. Tax increases, tax decreases, inflation, no inflation, market gains market losses, you cannot have all of your money in one place. And I've already alluded to some of the things that I'm doing and have done over the years to make sure that I'm well-diversified. 

Because I want to be in a position that if we see, not if, when we see it leveling out a little bit, then it's time to invest. But what does human nature tell us? When the market's going up, we want to jump in and buy. When the market's going down we panic and sell. If you go to the grocery store and they got a big sale on tuna and they got an extra big truckload and you like tuna, what are you gonna do? You're gonna load up your basket with tuna because it's on sale. Likewise, if you go back two days later, and they've doubled the price of tuna you're probably gonna say nah, I don't need it. We don't think that way with investments. 

And I cannot do investment funding for someone over the telephone or through a webinar or seminars. they, hey, this was one size fits all planning. Can't do that. If I were willing to give up my securities license and become an infotainer and have a TV show or radio show, I guess I could do that. But the regulators and the company compliance folks would not be happy with me if I did something like that. So I would tell you that you want to listen to this, if you want help, find someone whether it be me and my team or someone like us that can guide you and help you. But I would say this, don't panic. 

And if you're not sure of what to do, maybe you should just do nothing and wait it out because history shows that if you just leave things as they are, it's been well. The only exception I would make to that is if you need income and you're starting income right now and you're being forced to take income out of your accounts while the market is down, that will hurt you. So that's, to me, the action plan is stop and reassess where you are. Do you have enough money for liquid purposes? What does that mean? For emergencies, opportunities when there's a buying opportunity will you do it? I heard people yesterday giving advice. 

Hey, now's the time to buy stock because it's down. That there are certain companies if there's stock you'd like to own now's the time to do it. Others would say no, we don't think we've reached the bottom yet. I don't know. And the reality is I don't think anyone really knows. So we just have to wait and see. If you're adventurous, maybe start buying some now. If you're not so adventurous, maybe you wait. Maybe you wait. The number one is I like to tell people don't panic. 

We like to use the phrase be prepared, not scared. And if you prepare, a good example, yesterday, I spoke with three different clients over the telephone. And they were never not in a panic mode, but they wanted to be reassured and I was able to tell all three of them the money that we set aside for your retirement is protected. Your account balance will be down like your other investments, but the income will not go down. And that's key. You know, I like the fact that my checks pop up every month. They're guaranteed checks the rest of my lifetime. 

I like that. I like that. And, you know, so what's the money for? Is that retirement income? Is it to grow for the future? Some of the money I have is down 30%. Yeah, mostly people would not want to invest as aggressively as I did with that bucket of money. But that particular bucket of money, I don't need it today. I don't need income from it today. So I'm willing to ride that out. My more serious money for retirement income purposes, I got news for you, it's not invested as aggressively and nor should yours be.

Steve: As folks are kind of navigating this over the coming weeks and they're looking for that help, looking for somebody to connect with, you know, what's the best way for them to reach out to you and your team right now?

John: Well, I tell people, it's always easier to start with a telephone call. You take 20, 30 minutes over a telephone, you don't have to get in a car and drive anywhere, especially with everybody wanting to self-quarantine, that's probably the best way to do it. They can reach me by email at john_curry@glic GLIC dot com. John_curry@glic.com. Or at our office 850-562-3000. 850-562-3000. 

And just schedule an appointment. Be happy to help anybody if we can. But the key really is just sit down and reassess where you are. And don't get panicky. Just say okay, what do I have in checking account, savings account, my investments, retirement? You know, just start asking yourself, what do I want for the future? I have found, Steve, that over these years, I'm not going back these four decades that we talked about earlier. You take a look at it, five decades, take a look at it, there's plenty of opportunities. Yeah, there's losses today but there's also a lot of money being made today. 

We talked about Zoom, we're doing a meeting on Zoom right now, talking to each other recording this. I was watching the CEO being interviewed yesterday. In fact, let me just turn back to my news. Their stock price yesterday was up 7.61%. You know, and the price of the stock was 118. And I'm not recommending anybody buy the stock because I don't recommend individual stocks at all. 

I don't consider myself to be a stock analyst. But that's just a good example of where there's opportunity because people are staying home, being told to go home and work. The gentleman who is the CEO of Hormel Foods yesterday was being interviewed. They're doing well. You know, so just because the market's down doesn't mean everything's down. And I would caution people to be aware of that just, you know, again, don't panic and don't get scared, just get prepared.

Steve: I haven't been through as many of these cycles as you have but the thing that I've found through all of them and this doesn't apply specifically to the stock market, I just find this in general is as we go through these times, the opportunity doesn't disappear, it just moves. And there are really two moves that it makes. There's the move during the crisis or the challenge or, you know, the short term periods. So you're gonna see stocks like that go up in the short term because there's a lot of demand for them right away. 

You're gonna see businesses and parts of the economy that are, you know, people are moving to benefit and you're gonna see other parts of them not. And then there's going to be the longer term. When things begin to settle out and you're going to see that some things are new and different and there are new opportunities. There always are. There's always a bigger, brighter future after these. And you can't point to a time in human history where that wasn't true.

Opportunity Emerges From Chaos

John: Well, you're correct. And one thing I've done over my 45-year career, I have resisted the urge, totally resisted to get into selling and trying to time the market. I don't do that. If you came to me and said I've got money to invest, I want you to help me time the market, I would decline. I'd say no, I don't do that. If you want to put some money in today and do it in layers, I'll be happy to help you but as far as me telling you when to buy and sell in the market, I don't do that. And I've had people say well, wait a minute, I thought you were a stockbroker. Nope. I'm licensed to sell stocks but I do the planning first. 

And I'm to the point where, Steve, I'm so adamant about this, that somebody comes in says here, here's some money to invest, if you're not willing to share with me what your plan is and your goals or objectives, I don't even want you as a client. Why would I take on that risk? Because then if you lose money, guess who you're going to blame. You'll blame me, not yourself. So we're just to the point of where we say, Let's sit down together, have a conversation, start by phone, do it face to face, whatever is best and then once we're clear that we can provide the service, we'll help you. Otherwise, it's okay. 

There's no hard feelings. Now, when I was younger did I do that? Oh, heck, no. You know, 1975 when I started, you know, whatever you want me to do for you, I would do it as long as it's legally morally and ethically right. And then I've learned over the years the best clients are the ones who want to learn, they want to be coached, they want some leadership, they want some guidance. They're not just looking hey, here's my money. Do something with it.

Steve: Yeah, I get that. I get that. So, again, if you'll share with folks how to get in touch with you if they've got questions, if, you know, if they're worried and they just want a reassuring voice to talk to about their situation, how can they get in touch with you and your team?

John: Well, the best way is to schedule a telephone appointment. If they would like to come in face to face, they can do that. But I'll give the phone number first, 850-562-3000. 850-562-3000. Or they can send me an email at John JOHN underscore Curry, CURRYat Glic GLIC dot com. And we'll be happy to help if we can. 

And that I will also want to throw something out there as a word of caution that is that we will not give specific advice until we have the details. So if you're calling and you just want to be reassured about what you've got, clients, we can do that for. If you're someone who's brand new, please understand, we can't advise you unless we have all the facts and the details. And I think anyone who tries to give you advice without having all the details is not practicing proper planning. 

Professionalism in my opinion. But I can't speak for other people, I can only speak for John Curry and his team. Because those are the people I have to report to and be responsible for. And also our company, which is Guardian and Park Avenue Securities. And all the disclosures that follow this will be explained who those companies are because we're highly regulated folks so we have to do things just right. Or we can't do them.

Steve: Well, very good, John. Thanks for sharing a little bit of your perspective today. And folks, thanks for tuning in and listening. Stay safe and stay healthy.

John: Very good. Thank you, Steve.

Voiceover: If you'd like to know more about John Curry's services, you can request a complimentary information package by visiting johnhcurry.com/podcast. Again, that is johnhcurry.com/podcast. Or you can call his office at 850-562-3000. Again, that is 850-562-3000. John H. Curry chartered life underwriter, chartered financial consultant, accredited estate planner, masters in science and financial services, certified in long-term care, registered representative and financial advisor at Park Avenue Securities LLC. 

Securities products and services and advisory services are offered through Park Avenue Securities, a registered broker-dealer and investment advisor. Park Avenue Securities is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Guardian. North Florida Financial Corporation is not an affiliate or subsidiary of Park Avenue Securities. Park Avenue Securities is a member of FINRA and SIPC. This material is intended for general public use. 

By providing this material we are not undertaking to provide investment advice for any specific individual or situation or to otherwise act in a fiduciary capacity. Please contact one of our financial professionals for guidance and information specific to your individual situation. All investments contain risk and may lose value. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Guardian, its subsidiaries, agents or employees do not provide legal tax or accounting advice. Please consult with your attorney, accountant and or tax advisor for advice concerning your particular circumstances. 

Not affiliated with the Florida Retirement System. The Living Balance Sheet and the Living Balance Sheet logo are registered service marks of The Guardian Life Insurance Company of America, New York, New York copyright 2005-2020. This podcast is for informational purposes only. Guest speakers and their firms are not affiliated with or endorsed by Park Avenue Securities or Guardian and opinions stated are their own.

Policy benefits are reduced by any outstanding loans and loan interest. Dividends, if any, are affected by policy loans and loan interest. If the policy lapses, or is surrendered, any loans considered gain in the policy may be subject to ordinary income taxes. If the policy is a Modified Endowment Contract (MEC), loans are treated like withdrawals, but as gain first, subject to ordinary income taxes. If the policy owner is under 59 ½, any taxable distribution from the policy may also be subject to a 10% federal tax penalty. All annuity guarantees are based on the claims paying ability of the issuing insurance company. 

2020-98860 Expires April 2022